QuetzalCoatl

over 1 year ago

Help I keep calling when I know I'm beat

Hi, I've been learning the game for around 6 months and I am happy with my progress, I have a big problem though, I get into situations where I know I am beat and put my opponent on ...

over 1 year ago

[25NL] Overpair vs. Shortie on Mono Flop

I guess so. I did play around and put some in and i think it was still a clear call, albeit obviously closer. I think i tend to assume people fold small pairs pre to a 3bet more often than they ...

over 1 year ago

[25NL] Overpair vs. Shortie on Mono Flop

...Since we are only truly worried about flopped flushes and sets (flushes we flop roughly 1% of the time and sets approximately 15%), we can rehip here happily...

over 1 year ago

[25NL] Overpair vs. Shortie on Mono Flop

a shove is $8.75 into a total pot of about $27, so we need give or take 33% equity assuming zero FE.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
Board: 2h 6h 7h

equity ...

over 1 year ago

20NL, clear vbet on river, w TPGK

To make the value bet correct on the river, we need to be called by more hands that we beat than by hands that beat us (provided we fold to a raise). We don't necessarly need 50% equ...

over 1 year ago

20NL, clear vbet on river, w TPGK

it's fairly unlikely villain has a monster, but equally it's pretty hard for him to have a worse hand that can call a bet, so I would probably check it back. It's close though, I think, since i ...

over 1 year ago

Inside Job

Fascism is a massively overused and hence degraded word - Orwell wrote that its meaning had been lost through over use even before the war, i think, but its original use comes from Italy as disc...

over 1 year ago

Inside Job

You have to stop thinking in terms of the 'banks'. The guys that sold this did it for personal benefit and short term bonuses, they didn't care about what was good for the company th...

over 1 year ago

5nl - 66 MP - Flopped Set

There are two questions: flat the flop or raise, and if raise, how much. Once you raise, it's just keep betting and don't fold, unless you get a boatload of callers and something horrific turns....

over 1 year ago

line check 25nl JJ

i think the Queen flush has a nasty decision, and the King flush probably hates life but calls. I doubt anything worse calls more than once in a blue moon.

I think c/f is probably be...