Small Stakes Shorthanded NL Poker Forums

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Party
SB ($222)
Hero ($100)
UTG ($100)
UTG+1 ($229)
CO ($46.87)
BTN ($155)

Dealt to Hero J J

fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $2.15, fold, Hero raises to $9, BTN calls $6.85

FLOP ($18.50) 2 K K

Hero bets $9, BTN calls $9

TURN ($36.50) 2 K K 9

Hero checks, BTN checks

RIVER ($36.50) 2 K K 9 8

Hero checks, BTN bets $24, Hero calls $24

Villain is 21/17, fold to 3bet 22% 4bet 33% (out of 9)

OTF Im betting here with all my air and vadluehands alike, so I dont want to show my hand by checking, that would also put me against the wall on future streets.
Turn and river gets ugly. I pick up some EQ in case I was behind, but I guess my implieds are crushed by my reversed implieds.
I think this is a decent spot for him to float me so my plan is to c/c turn and c/f river. he checks and that plan is gone, now I could valuebet, against middlepocketpairs or maybe A9s, but my hope was that hes likely to turn those into a bluff.

Checking on the turn is nice and check call river to catch air/mid pair hands. I think he's got a lot of bluffs and mid-pair hands here and fewer combinations of brutalized Kx hands.

I do agree with preflop, flop and the turn. On the river thou, I don't see him turning those middle pairs and A9's into a bluff or even A high, I mean why would he? he has a lot of showdown value vs your air heavy range. Also the bet size looks like it's for value. So as nitty as it might sound to some I'd fold here. The only you thing you beat here is a pure air and I think he would bet that OTT very often.

Agree with Apex. Guys if villain wants to bluff he will do it OTT since it's one of the best cards for him.

I think I’d turn continuation bet for value and protection. Value against any 9x, 33-88, TT (with or without club) that may try to bluff catch. and protection against any 9q+ club hand villain may have called the flop with even though I don’t think it’s as likely of a hand considering 3bet call preflop. My turn bet would be a bet/fold against any raise. If I’m called on the turn, I’m done with the hand and would check/fold river unless I hit a J of course.