DD,
The audio is excellent.
the format is excellent.
your commentary is excellent.
your play is excellent.
The A3 hand, you first mention that c/folding is ok, then you call.
As others have, I stoved it too. you are close in your estimate, you have 33% equity.
my question to you and Entity and anyone else that doesnt like this call(Oink in another similar hand told me that peeling this hand on a flop like this was a mistake) is....
if we have 33% equity isnt it a mistake to fold given 5.3 to one odds on a call?
isnt what makes you, DD a great player, your ability to estimate your equity on the fly?
doesnt folding, negate that advantage?(not to mention giving the pot away)
I think folding the flop is wrong, the correct play is to call.
33% equity is enough to play on, even if its a tough hand to play,
plus I think its only tough if you dont understand the stuff I am noting.(which I might not..lol)
we can play on after the turn card if ...
1) the board pairs (strengthing our SDV with A)
2) another club comes (strengthing our draw)
3) a ace comes (pairing us)
4) a 3 comes... (pairing us)
23 cards
we should fold on any non club K,T,9,8,....12 cards....not enough equity to continue, they pair and otherwise help villain too much, and the pot is still small, not offering enough odds.
we barely have enough equity to continue(27-30%..given 83 to 20 odds, AND ASSUMING A BET! and that villain bets his entire range) with a 6,5,4,2 ..12 cards...because these cards dont pair villain as much, they are somewhat bricks/blanks.
the ace in our hand, while it may be dominated some of the time, gives us SD value.
and I think it helps metagame to SD this hand (but I am not certain of this)
granted if we ge to the river, we have to be able to call in a lot of very tought spots, with not much obvious equity. We call more of the "bad cards" on the river if a bet goes in on the turn.
we have less equity because of the bad card, but we are being offered better odds cause the pot is bigger from the turn bet.
but hell, This hand seperates great players IMO, I hope someday to call this flop myself.
however DD, if you rethink this hand, and decides its a fold on the flop...NEVER MIND, I f'd up somewhere.