jjd323's blog

My flatmate Rick suggested a long time ago that I should use a program like “Remember the Milk” to organise my tasks. Well, I installed it yesterday, and it turns out that there is a plug-in for GMail too – which is awesome for an email junkie like myself.

One thing I have started doing, which stops me from losing focus during a session, is I can just pop in a note such as “15th analyse KhQ hand on monotone flop”, and it will automatically create a task with a deadline of Friday next week. Even better, because it is a new toy, I did the analysis way ahead of schedule:

Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold’em – 5 players – View hand 451777
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BB: $207.95
UTG: $101.70
CO: $156.50
Hero (BTN): $103.30
SB: $133.65

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN with Q K
1 fold, CO raises to $2.60, Hero calls $2.60, SB calls $2.10, 1 fold

Flop: ($8.80) 3 J 5 (3 players)
SB checks, CO bets $5.85, Hero raises to $20.15, SB folds, CO raises to $153.90 all in, Hero folds §

I raised here because I figured he could easily be bet-folding top pair, a pocket pair with a , or just random junk with an A hi that I would like to fold out now; I don’t think that there are any two-pair in his range. Even if he was bet-calling with any of those I have good equity and can check behind the turn if I miss totally. Even if I hit my top-pair after he bet-calls, I think that I can fold easily if led into because all of his bet-calling range has some showdown value and it is unlikely that he will lead into such a strong raise unless he beats at least a pair (his most likely bluff hands, Ax without a pair, he shoves on the flop almost all the time), and I don’t think he will turn a weak made hand into a bluff very often when I can be committed to calling with a draw on the turn and can easily have a hand like a set or a baby flush on the river (after checking back the turn).

In the actual event, he shoved over my raise. His range here is Ax, made flushes, QQ (not many combos left) and some aggro opponents will have a set here some % of the time too. I don’t think this is ever pure air, because I can have a draw that is committed with Ax so often and will be snap-calling every time. So, the correct play is to fold.

§ Sadly, I went through this entire though process (before raising) and then tilt-click called anyway because he snap shoved and that is what tilt-monkeys do. Obviously I go it in drawing dead to Ax. sigh