December 04, 2010
TIGHT UTG OPEN vs CO FLAT Exercise
UTG TIGHT OPEN COMBOS
PAIRS: 22-AA 78combos
SC's: 8combos
SUITED ACES: 16 combos
OFFSUIT ACES: 36combos
SUITED BROADWAYS: 16 combos
OFFSUITE BWs: 12 combos
TOTAL 166 combos
BOARD RUNS OUT Ad 7h 2s
UTG cbetting range 100%
how does the board change his combos?
PAIRS: 22-AA 78combos -9 for sets = 69
SC's: 8combos same same
SUITED ACES: 16 combos - 4 combos = 12
OFFSUIT ACES: 36combos - 9 combos = 27
SUITED BROADWAYS: 16 combos same
OFFSUITE BWs: 12 combos same
148 combos
SETS: 6% of range
TOP PAIR: 26%
Second pair (better than 7x): 24%
UTG C-BETS 7 into 10, you have to be correct 41% of the time to make the call in a vacuum, no turn, no river cards.
Imagine we have pocket 8s. Should we float?
To calculate the equity of our hand we need to consider at 4 scenarios:
You are ahead and he sucks out
You are ahead and we win
You are behind and suck out
You are behind and lose
Scenario 1 and 2:
88 vs 33-66, KJS+, QJs, JTs, T9s, 98s, KQo (44% of his cbetting range)
EV$ for hero $8.46
EV$ for villain $2.10
EV of when we are ahead +$6.36
Scenario 3 and 4:
88vs SETS, TOP PAIR, Second pair (56% of cbetting range)
EV$ for hero $1.07
EV$ for villain $12.25
EV when behind -$11.18
Total EV = -11.18+6.36 = -4.82
No you cannot float with 88!
LESSON: DO NOT FLOAT/PLAY BACK against STRONG RANGES Â
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