34:00 K
J
board comes 4
8
8
A
interesting hand.
I have considered this situation before and am not sure betting is really great here. Most of your comments do not favor betting.
Question: how much of our range are we b/f'ing here? how much of our range are we b/calling down here? We have the 2nd nut no-pair on this paired board, so we have the best hand a lot.
This is low stakes, so I don't expect to be bluffed here a ton, but the board is paired and an Ace fell = please take a shot at me cause I could be slowplaying trip 8's too.
Just a couple of thoughts... checking allows air to bluff. Also, random unpaired hands have only 4 outs against us in this smallish pot, so if they check behind, we can bet when we hit a K/J/flush and sometimes get called by super weird stuff on this paired board, including rivered pairs and Q-high.
Any PP is calling down on this board regardless, so we really are only paying 1 bet whether we bet or c/call, but in this rare instance, I think checking outweighs betting.
If a middling card comes on the turn, we may want to bet to get a fold from random A-rag (within pf cc range). But honestly, on this board, a ton of A-high are getting to SB, barring the board flushing out, which sucks for us. Because of the specific flop and our specific hand, I'm thinking check may be pretty good here too.
I have played around with checking Ax here to, going for the c/r, and like the results verse specific opposition. This still allows air to bluff and low PP to stick in an extra big bet (cause they are b/calling down a lot). I really don't mind giving out a free card since the board is paired and mostly uncoordinated (1 FD doesn't = drawy, imo). No one ever seems to fold if I c/r bluff here, so doing it for value sometimes can't be that bad.
Yes, I will bet the Turn with my bluffs, but again, most villains are mostly unknown, so playing unexploitably goes out the window. And they have no idea that I'm willing to check here with a hand like K-high to induce, slash, balance for Ax funkiness, slash, max value sometimes.
Are we donking a rivered flush if we are raised on the Turn?
(sorry for the long post, but I think this spot is pretty cool)
ciao