Poker Video: Pot-Limit Omaha by DJ Sensei (Micro/Small Stakes)

Time Link to 00:19:51

table one, what a bout a c/r since we block one 7 for the nuts?

table one, what a bout a c/r since we block one 7 for the nuts?

My concern is that we're deep enough that he can call our c/r with a variety of draws and made hands, including the nuts, and we don't have a good way to figure out what exactly he has, so our river play will be tough and potentially spewy. If his repot to our c/r would be AI or close to it, then I like it better, because then he has to be drawing if he just flats our c/r.

Time Link to 00:16:48

I assume the rake is maxed at this point (you suggest it is a few seconds later). If so, why would you flat? Even if he has bluffs he'll fold and chops he'll call, you give him the chance to mis-click which, although worth a tiny amount, is still nice when he accidentally folds the nuts 1/1000 times (or less as case probably is). Not a big deal, but might as well give him another chance to make an error if it's not gonna cost us anything.

Time Link to 01:05:18

Watching this video, given we don't think either guy has T9, do we think a check/ shove (having seen their check and half-pot bet) could credibly rep the nuts, get them off some two-pairs and win us the pot a decent amount (with equity when we're wrong)?

I assume the rake is maxed at this point (you suggest it is a few seconds later). If so, why would you flat? Even if he has bluffs he'll fold and chops he'll call, you give him the chance to mis-click which, although worth a tiny amount, is still nice when he accidentally folds the nuts 1/1000 times (or less as case probably is). Not a big deal, but might as well give him another chance to make an error if it's not gonna cost us anything.

Yea, obviously you're right, I'm just not sure when the rake is maxed. Another possible benefit is that if he's bluffing and folds, he doesn't get to see our hand.

Watching this video, given we don't think either guy has T9, do we think a check/ shove (having seen their check and half-pot bet) could credibly rep the nuts, get them off some two-pairs and win us the pot a decent amount (with equity when we're wrong)?

Well I'm not super confident that the button doesn't have T9 (or 56 for that matter!). The real question though is simply how much FE we have.

We're risking 169 to win 165, and will have between 20 and 30% equity when called. Lets skew his range towards the 2pr hands because of his bet sizing, and say we have 28% when called. My calculations* say we need 20% FE to breakeven (assuming UTG isn't a factor, but I assume having him along would be even better since our equity is nutty and durable against multiple opponents.) I think we should have at least that much, so yea, checkraising is a pretty good idea!

* - Equity = EV(fold)*FE+EV(called)*(1-FE) = 165*FE+(.28*279-.72*169)(1-FE)

Yea, obviously you're right, I'm just not sure when the rake is maxed. Another possible benefit is that if he's bluffing and folds, he doesn't get to see our hand.

I thought about that, but didn't say it because I actually think that may be the only excuse for flatting. He knows half our hand when we shove, but we only know a very small amount about his (that he doesn't have AQ). The only thing tempting me to flat (assuming max rake) is to see what hands he gets to this point and bluffs with are. I just don't do it because the idea of having someone misclick-fold the nuts is awesome.