Cheeziest video yet!
A5o in SB 2:00 in -- I hate this spot. I feel like your reverse implied odds are such that just folding the flop can't be that bad. I kind of think the optimal strategy is to balance in a way that you fold enough to induce more three barrels, so that when you do call down some of the time, you are more likely to be getting your money in good.
J6o in BB 13:00 in -- Tricky spot, but I think the line of check/raise flop and probably bet/fold turn is probably pretty good. I think there is a fourth thing to add to DD's list of things to think about (the three were 1. Is he vbetting worse?, 2. Do I have enough outs to call?, 3. Can I call down unimproved?) is how likely is he to make a free showdown raise. It could be correct to call the turn raise and then fold the river unimproved if you think (1) the combination of the chance he is FSR'ing plus the chance you will improve to beat a hand you are currently losing to merits calling the turn AND (2) the chances his turn raise is a semibluff that he will follow through with on the river do not merit calling the river unimproved.
DD 17:40 in -- "I shouldn't call him a fish..." I lost count of how many times he referred to him as the fish after that point. ![]()
QTo in SB 19:00 in -- I disagree with DD that CCing the SB is that bad. The problem with 3betting is that you are bloating a pot against a player whose biggest mistake is most likely going way too far with his hands. Unfortunately, that's not much of a mistake when your opponent isolates you OOP with Q high. Also, I think the danger of letting a good BB in is mitigated by the fact that you have good relative position against the weaker player, allowing you to check/raise the flop when you connect and give the BB bad odds with his weaker holdings.
95o in BB 22:00 in -- Agree with preflop fold, though calling isn't terrible. Agree strongly the turn check/raise is spew. I'm curious what Nfinity had here, since his river raise on the K is pretty surprising given what hand range we are putting him on. The hand reading suggests he has KK or K6s.
Q9s in SB/BB 25:00 in -- Interesting hand. Agree that SB check/overcall on the river is a mistake (one that I make a lot too). BB's bet is interesting; could argue for check/call if fish bets, check/fold if fish bets and SB calls, to induce bluffs from the random single spades in button's range.
22 in BB 31:00 in -- Well played. I don't think button's call down with T6s is terrible. There's not much worse he can get value from and he has to be concerned about 4x. There would be a lot more value in the raise if there was a bluff/rebluff dynamic on these kind of boards between the players. (Obviously, I'm not saying the fish necessarily was just calling down with the right thought process, but I know this would be a marginal spot if I were button, especially if I knew villain flatcalled his whole range preflop and could play overpairs this way.)
KJo in BB 34:00 in -- Well played. I don't think Tilty's river bet is that bad. He should expect call downs from AQ, QJ, JJ, and often a pocket pair below Ts (not that fnupple would necessarily call those down, but Tilty doesn't know that). Given how the hand has played out, he's only losing to AK and KJ. Actually, I think checking behind this river is somewhat poor.
KK OTB/A6o in SB 36:00 in -- Great discussion about this spot. Interesting that you think SB should fold if button raises the flop. Could be right, but I doubt many players ever do it.
A8o/KQo in SB 48:00 in -- Gross spots, but I agree the c/c c/f line with A8o isn't good versus this guy. If you check turn, it should be either to give up or to induce bluffs and see a show down. The KQo is again tough, but this time I think the river c/f is good because you are hoping to chop the pot and your odds aren't there.
