If our flop raises should be roughly 50% bluffs, what % should we bluffing the turn in general, I'm thinking 1/2 of them and giving up 1/2 of them unimproved. Also, lets say flop is QT5tt and I flatted on the button. Let's say I raise the flop for value 55, TT, QTs for like 15 combos. If I want to bluff 15 combos, should I be raising hands like J9s and call with hands like KJs? In general, what about KQ and if I flatted AQ, would KQ be a bluff catcher and AQ be a value raise assuming it's not a nit. would 77-99 ever be raised as a bluff? Or should it be hands like gutters or overs with backdoor draws to have some good semi-bluffing turn potential? I know these are hard to answer without a specific villian and game flow. Thanks for the hard work in putting this series together.
I'm not sure 50% bluffs/value is necessarily the right ratio. That's something I should look into, how to put our opponents in a bad spot with something like KQ on a QT5 two-tone.
On that QT5 two-tone, you also have some strong semi-bluffs, and as I mentioned in the 1st vid, combo draws are much closer to value than to a bluff. Villain has no fold equity when you raise with a combo-draw and you're usually not going to be much of an underdog. I'd take those 15 combos of value and move that upward to around 18 to account for all the NFD, pair+FD, and straight+flush draws that you might be raising.
Since you have position, you can call many hands that you might opt to raise if you were out of position. AJ is an example. Some people c/c AJ on that flop, but I would prefer to c/r. In position, I'm fine with calling a bet and don't feel I need to raise it.
In this situation, I'd tend to defer to history as opposed to my actual hand. Most hands that have 20%+ equity against villain's bet-call range are good enough to call, so you have 2 options there. The rest of the hands all have approximately the same weak equity, so you need to defer to history and reads.
What I mean by this is if you have a read on villain that he plays the turn honestly, by betting with a strong hand and c/f without, then I'm much more likely to just call something like 76+FD or 88. If villain 2 barrels a lot then I might just put in a flop raise.
If you have a clean image and have folded to a few of villain's c-bet recently, then you can put in a raise with just about any 2. If you have a bad image, then you probably shouldn't raise if you aren't prepared to 4-bet push over a 3-bet.
Even though most weak hands run closely in equity, I think there are some hands you can tend to raise more than others. Hands like J8, 98, 76 FD, J9, A5, 75 are likely all good enough to call with in position, but the fact that they have equity and potential to make a strong hand makes them a strong candidate to raise as well. Call vs. raise is really, really situation-dependent.
It's a lot more clear-cut OOP, because fewer hands are +EV to call, so you can c/r the top of your folding range. In position, the top of your folding range is likely not too different equity-wise than the middle or even bottom of your folding range.
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