On the 1st hand, when he bet turn that hard and dont make himself have atleast a 80% pot bet on river i would assume he have a big draw on turn and will shut down if he miss the river so i prob jam turn, thoughts on that?
Josh goes through two previous hands with a focus on handreading and narrowing ranges as a hand continues.
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On the 1st hand, when he bet turn that hard and dont make himself have atleast a 80% pot bet on river i would assume he have a big draw on turn and will shut down if he miss the river so i prob jam turn, thoughts on that?
On the 1st hand, when he bet turn that hard and dont make himself have atleast a 80% pot bet on river i would assume he have a big draw on turn and will shut down if he miss the river so i prob jam turn, thoughts on that?
I definitely don't mind jamming, but you kind of let villain off the hook when you do that. I chose to give him the opportunity to make a mistake on the river. I also felt that while he certainly has some hands in his range that have a lot of equity against us on the turn, he is going to have some hands that don't. He was 3 betting a fairly wide range v UTG opens, plus he was a more aggressive player in general, meaning I thought he had a better chance of barreling off than the average player would.
Also, I think a lot of decent players are going to recognize that when they 3 bet an UTG open and barrel flop and turn on this kind of board that they look very strong and will jam the river because of how the hand has played out. I doubt he was thinking that I had a hand as strong as AK here and figured he could 3 barrel bluff me off of something like QQ.
To your point though, if we have strong reason to believe that he is only going to continue betting the river with made hands and is going to give up with missed draws a very large percentage of the time on the river, then jamming is clearly the better option as we gain almost nothing when he misses his draws by simply calling the turn.
@ Hand #2
What would be your decision if he jam the river? I guess it should be a fold given how often it will be a QQ+ in comparison to his 4bet bluffs?
Very good video and very good illustration of correct range assessment and actions which it entails. It helped me a lot.
@ Hand #2
What would be your decision if he jam the river? I guess it should be a fold given how often it will be a QQ+ in comparison to his 4bet bluffs?
Very good video and very good illustration of correct range assessment and actions which it entails. It helped me a lot.
Yea I would fold to a check turn, jam river line. It's pretty obvious what I have, and I think it's more likely that villain will jam QQ+ trying to rep an AK bluff, rather than bluff with AK hoping that I fold.
Time Link to 00:20:05
he is not gonna bet on turn or river, because he knows that you know that if he doesn't bet there he might not have a better value hand than yours, so he is basically letting you value cut yourself imo assuming that he is a good thinking opponent
he is not gonna bet on turn or river, because he knows that you know that if he doesn't bet there he might not have a better value hand than yours, so he is basically letting you value cut yourself imo assuming that he is a good thinking opponent
In my experience that just doesn't apply to 99% of players in these particular games. He isn't betting because he is either too scared to bluff or doesn't think that I will fold. I'm sure he's also holding out some hope that AK will win at showdown.
Also, most players are happy to check down JJ in this spot so he can't really expect me to bet very often.
Just joined few weeks back and watched about thirty videos. This is my favorite one so far, well done Crackmonkey!
Just joined few weeks back and watched about thirty videos. This is my favorite one so far, well done Crackmonkey!
Glad you enjoyed it ![]()
Crackmonkey, are you just folding the turn if he barrels on that blank? Do you call again (which I imagine would put you all in) or give him credit for QQ+?
What are you doing if he checks the turn but bets the river?
Crackmonkey, are you just folding the turn if he barrels on that blank? Do you call again (which I imagine would put you all in) or give him credit for QQ+?
What are you doing if he checks the turn but bets the river?
At these stakes against someone I don't have any specific reads on ( they've bluffed in this spot before, they're wildly aggro ), I'm going to give credit on the turn and fold.
If he checks turn and bets river, I'm folding there too as that line tends to be tricky value as opposed to a bluff, especially against a reg.
Would you mind giving out the color ranges for the stats you're using in your video? It would be really helpful to know what is considered a high cbet%, turn cbet%, 3bet% etc.
I have a general idea about some of these numbers but I'd like to know where you draw the line for each stat.
Would you mind giving out the color ranges for the stats you're using in your video? It would be really helpful to know what is considered a high cbet%, turn cbet%, 3bet% etc.
I have a general idea about some of these numbers but I'd like to know where you draw the line for each stat.
Sorry I just saw your post. I am pretty much using one of the HUD configurations that comes with the LeakBuster HEM add-on. I think I may have adjusted a couple and added a stat or two. I'm at work now so I don't have access to HEM, but I will try to post this information for you when I have a chance.
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