I love the series so far and I'm watching the videos in order starting from the first one after another. Great stuff, but I had to say something that was nagging on my mind about the JT98ds hand that no one else seemed to mention. My first post on DeucesCracked, trying out the 7 day trial and wanted to post my thoughts.
While I understand the logic for flatting instead of 3-betting pre-flop to keep the fish in on the JT98ds hand, I feel like this is a really bad spot to do that. For one, he might limp-fold and we end up heads up OOP with a high SPR (unlikely he folds after limping, but still a possiblity we have to consider.) Second, even if he does what we want him to and calls, how great really is this for us? Sure he's a big fish, but since we all know how imperative position is to success in PLO, our edge over him is automatically reduced dramatically because he has position on us. Granted, he's a fish so he's not going to use position as well as a good player would to make our decisions tougher, but the advantage is built-in. Factor that with now we're OOP against 2 players if he flats, which you could argue is worse even with the fish included, and this play makes zero sense to me. To me this spot is simple. You have a premium hand, OOP. 3-bet, put more money in, take the initiative, and barrel away post flop since most of the time your hand is going to catch peices that allow barrelling the turn easily and confidently. Or, if the flop comes something like A55 and we hit air, a c-bet takes it down because they assume we have AA and don't want to be drawing dead so it's a win-win. I really feel like this is one of those KISS situations (keep it simple, stupid) and that flatting was really over-thinking the situation. And look at what ended up happening, we were put in a really tough spot post because we flatted. If we simply 3-bet, the SPR is much lower and we hit the flop hard enough to barrel and stack off post. Much easier to deal with. I feel like 3-betting prevents us from getting into a really crappy spot like we did to begin with, which is an overlooked part of poker in general I think. It just seems like we should keep plays like this for when we're in position against fish, especially heads-up to make life easier on ourselves instead of making it more difficult when it never needed to be to begin with.
Thoughts? And thank you so much for this video series!