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Jk3a continues to explore the exploitable and un-exploitable play at $2/4 NLHE and how it affects the play of his opponents.
Ghost the best of DeucesCracked in the shorthanded games they play in today.
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Time Link to 00:17:51
given the fishy stats i prefer making a bet he can both call with worse pairs and bluff raise with missed draws (even though fish don't do that too often on the river). it probably takes some math to show whether bet small/call or ck/call is best, but i think there are really a lot of worse pairs that can call compared to only a moderate amount of draws that get to the river. so i think i like betting ~$60 here.
edit: shoving or betting big might be best.
Any thought to shoving the K2s hand @ the 8:00 min mark if his range is mostly draws and pot controlled Kx? Since your hand looks so much like a 9x here, I'd think he can bet/fold a K and save you from being value-towned. Or did you prefer the call just cuz draws/floats are a bigger part of his range than Kx?
given the fishy stats i prefer making a bet he can both call with worse pairs and bluff raise with missed draws (even though fish don't do that too often on the river). it probably takes some math to show whether bet small/call or ck/call is best, but i think there are really a lot of worse pairs that can call compared to only a moderate amount of draws that get to the river. so i think i like betting ~$60 here.
edit: shoving or betting big might be best.
there are def lots of combos of worse pairs but a 31/8 also loves his suited cards as well. Both plays obv have merit and I couldn't really fault either.
Any thought to shoving the K2s hand @ the 8:00 min mark if his range is mostly draws and pot controlled Kx? Since your hand looks so much like a 9x here, I'd think he can bet/fold a K and save you from being value-towned. Or did you prefer the call just cuz draws/floats are a bigger part of his range than Kx?
you say floats, but remember that we checked the flop. so air/draws are a big enough portion of our range that I don't think turning our hand into a bluff better or necessary.
Excellent video man.
Jared, your recent vids have been really top drawer. Good job.
jk3a, ladies and gentlemans!!!!
sick vid. the hand analysis was second to none, as per usual.
god, your vids are some awesome. Sick work PLS MOAR
Please continue this series, sir.
Time Link to 00:40:33
Why didn't we shove the rest of the stack ($78)? Were we afraid of a 78 for a straight?
I'm curious, because we called off most of our stack. Why not make him pay completely?
Why didn't we shove the rest of the stack ($78)? Were we afraid of a 78 for a straight?
I'm curious, because we called off most of our stack. Why not make him pay completely?
we have a bluffcatcher against too much of his c/r range to make 3betting +ev
we have a bluffcatcher against too much of his c/r range to make 3betting +ev
This is how I would have played it (I'm sure). I always just call the river, and accept whatever winnings are there. I was thinking I have a leak, being "safer than sorry".
Is the +EV equation really important at this point? We called off a huge amount of our stack. What is $78 more? Either you have it or you don't. Close your eyes and get all in (I'm thinking..or maybe I'm leaking).
Sorry for my persistence with this. I'm just trying to get my mindset correct on this.
Thanks. Really do enjoy these videos.
This is how I would have played it (I'm sure). I always just call the river, and accept whatever winnings are there. I was thinking I have a leak, being "safer than sorry".
Is the +EV equation really important at this point? We called off a huge amount of our stack. What is $78 more? Either you have it or you don't. Close your eyes and get all in (I'm thinking..or maybe I'm leaking).
Sorry for my persistence with this. I'm just trying to get my mindset correct on this.
Thanks. Really do enjoy these videos.
yes, it matters, ALOT. the ev involved is identical to making a thin value bet. we need to get called by worse >50% for the 3bet to be profitable. it's very unlikely that will happen
48/40, Is that really your 6 max stats? I know you play a lot of HU. Are there possibly some HU hands in there that have diluted your stats. I can't imagine those stats being profitable at 6-max. Am I wrong?
48/40, Is that really your 6 max stats? I know you play a lot of HU. Are there possibly some HU hands in there that have diluted your stats. I can't imagine those stats being profitable at 6-max. Am I wrong?
mix of hu and 6max, mostly hu
Time Link to 00:34:24
why not 2 barrel (we have lot of equity)
why not raise his weak bet ,you says he's got weak hands + we got a lot of equity....if we don't improve river it seems a wast of equity and fold equity
why not 2 barrel (we have lot of equity)
why not raise his weak bet ,you says he's got weak hands + we got a lot of equity....if we don't improve river it seems a wast of equity and fold equity
i think betting turn is better than what i did
Awesome video, that analysis was very clear and decent. Good job. Would like to see some more vids
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