was disappointed we this wasnt air last week due to technical faults, cant wait to watch
Krantz puts Mark through some hand reading exercises centered around some recent hands he played.
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was disappointed we this wasnt air last week due to technical faults, cant wait to watch
is that hem for macs ?
Have really been enjoying the series so far. How much further are the pair of you's going?
On a related note, how has Marco been getting on lately with his game? How many hands has he put in, hours per week, at what stake?
Have really been enjoying the series so far. How much further are the pair of you's going?
On a related note, how has Marco been getting on lately with his game? How many hands has he put in, hours per week, at what stake?
my volume is way down for a few reasons.
1. lifestyle, i have a new job that requires alot of time. My wife is both going to school and working, so I spend much more time with my daughter. This all equals less time for poker.
2. i spend more nights just studying. Working with Krantz is amazing, but I came to the self-relization of how little I know. ( this was kind of depressing) These hand reading exercises (and another exercise Jay told me to do) have exposed some glaring weaknesses in my in-game abilities. I've gone from starting to 2 table $100nl HU, to immediately, and by choice, going back to 1 tabling $50nlHU, and just trying to read every hand for 30 minutes at a time. This sounds easy, but it is not. I end up auto-piloting alot, just playing a common pattern. I've decided to train myself to hand-read before i do anything else. Short sessions, lots of study.
3. On-going technical issues have been tilting me too.
My win-rate has been in the double digits at $50nl since our 2nd video. But in review, i find some horrible misplays ( a few in this video). Not only do i have sooo much more to learn, but i currently have a lot of theory knowledge that I am not able to use in game. My approach has been to move very slowly, focusing on hand reading and taking my time to think at the best level i can. I no longer care about moving up until i feel like i can use what i know on a consistent basis.
Great post Marco.
You sir have the makings of a superstar with that post and attitude.
Stick to your plan!
Time Link to 00:11:42
what about betting turn and shoving brick rivers on this 7 turn? Sure he has a good amount of Tx hands that call us down, but we also make him fold floats on the turn and 66, 88, 76s, 87s, and FD's by the river plus we have 10% equity and nice implied odds for winning a big pot from Tx hands when we hit. If you expect him to shove a somewhat balanced range of FD's and Tx hands on the turn a lot and sometimes hero call rivers with like 66 then it's def bad though. But if he calls his range most of the time on the turn and we don't expect him to hero call it seems like it could be +EV.
what about betting turn and shoving brick rivers on this 7 turn? Sure he has a good amount of Tx hands that call us down, but we also make him fold floats on the turn and 66, 88, 76s, 87s, and FD's by the river plus we have 10% equity and nice implied odds for winning a big pot from Tx hands when we hit. If you expect him to shove a somewhat balanced range of FD's and Tx hands on the turn a lot and sometimes hero call rivers with like 66 then it's def bad though. But if he calls his range most of the time on the turn and we don't expect him to hero call it seems like it could be +EV.
i think that's a fine line against the right opponent (as you pt out, someone who doesn't shove the turn very often) and if you have the right image. i prefer to have much > than 10% equity here but bluffing with K5 is better than bluffing with total air...
That was a great video.
I think this is worth doing every 2-4 videos again.
Hand K5ss @ T45dhh
I see his calling range like this:88-55,AQs-ATs,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,T8s+,86s,76s,Ad9d,Ah9h,Kh9h,Qh9h,Jh9h,Ah8h,Kh8h,Qh8h,9h8h,AJo-ATo,KTo+,QTo+,JTo,AhQd,AhQs,AhQc,Ah9d,Ah9s,Ah9c,Ah8d,Ah8s,Ah8c,Kh9d,Kh9s,Kh9c =~160 combos
TURN: 7
I would like to discuss this spot, because IMO this is good board texture + spot to 2barrel.
1st - look at his range on the turn. 63 combos = pure overs (AQs-AJs, QJs, AJo, QJo, AhQd, AhQs, AhQc, KdQh, KdQs, KdQc, KhQd, KhQs, KhQc, KcQd, KcQh, KcQs, KdJh, KdJs, KdJc, KhJd, KhJs, KhJc, KcJd, KcJh, KcJs, KdQd, KhQh, KcQc, KdJd, KhJh, KcJc)+ few combos with hands like Ax/Kx with BDF = lets say ~70 combos total
I like to bet here:
lets use EV calc for this bet
EV=70/160 * 20USD + 90/160 ( 40 * .10 - 10 ) = 8.75 + (-3,37)= +5.38USD -> bet turn is suuuper +EV
IMO check is bad option because if U're playing against decent oponent he is going to do good pot control and do good betting stuff = K5 is SUPERHARD TO SD WHEN CHECK.
and
a/ when villain jams this turn U have fold beacuse this is bottom of your range and you are not exploited by this play
b/ when he calls his range is easy to find as ATs,KTs,QTs,JTs,T8s+,87s,76s,Ah9h,ATo,KTo,QTo,JTo ( I gave him only 1 combo of nutflushdraw because Im not sure how often is he going to jam this turn with NFD) when You get called = 51 combos of 58 = TP. his range is easy to find = easy game on the river.
hero bet 10, v calls
river is : ? pot = 40USD, we have 34 left
so if we are going to jam= 34/34+40 = we need 45% fold equity
when:
-on the river brick rolls off: we are going to X/F and feel damn good about it (accordingly to our info about this player)
-when 8 or 9 rolls off = we could bluff if we expect villan to fold more than 45% of the time
Jay and Marco - what do You think about this stuff?
ps. sorry for my english
best regards ![]()
hmm, it depends on what you want to focus on.
Your argument is a justification for barreling lots boards, this is where Randomization Based on Equity comes, i think. The idea is that no one ever has anything and its always +EV to barrel ( as you show), but you choose to barrel only those times you have lots of actual equity, so that when you get called, you can still win.
So, backdoor flush draws are my only real equity barrels in these sorts of spots. they also require lots of river shoves on good cards ( and the river shove line becomes more +EV, as a whole, with the more actual equity you have on the flop and turn ).
On the actual hand i bet the flop for value, then can't bet the turn for value. I can't fold out better hands, can't get called by worse. That leaves protection as the only reason for betting. I don't mind x/c'ing once and folding the river, or seeing a show down, or whatever. This is a spot where Villain will bluff once with much of his floating range ( which are alot of overs as you show).
Time Link to 00:17:06
When you say that we will bet most of his Sted broadways on the turn, i think that you believe that he will also bet his Ax s on the turn correct?
I dont think that this type of player if im doing a correct analisys is going to lead at any point; passive stations dont bet usualy unless they have the nuts (until the river usually). I think this hand ilustrates 90% of the typical passive stationy players that you encounter on micro stakes.
Do you believe that he would raise that river without the nuts?
Time Link to 00:24:54
Vs the type of player u just describe that s just gonna dbarrel any flop/turn, i would like to know whats your plan on this flop with
a) top pair / average kiker
b) middle pair
Do you believe that he would raise that river without the nuts?
i think he'd jam a few other hands, strong flushes, maybe high sets if he shows up with them
Vs the type of player u just describe that s just gonna dbarrel any flop/turn, i would like to know whats your plan on this flop with
a) top pair / average kiker
b) middle pair
a.) call
b.) mostly call - maybe DL flop and turn if its very vulnerable.
not sure if there are any outstanding questions aimed at me, if there are/anyone wants further discussion just let me know!
Time Link to 00:31:42
I'm honestly surprised. I would of thought he'd bet bigger OTF with 2 pair or a set.
Time Link to 00:43:30
Hey great video
I think I would have trouble doing this hand reading on this villain after seeing this hand, so in the future when he is being aggressive would you leave all of the complete air that he could have in his range? and if you are getting rid of some of the air how much would you be getting rid of and why that amount? like for example if you played this hand with the villain Knowing that he can be very aggressive with air?
Time Link to 00:12:36
Why would we take floats out of his flop calling range if turn went check / check? He would still have them when turn came out, correct? Or would you expect him to always fire with his floats when checked to while IP?
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