Schweig
1081 posts
Joined 10/2008
Time Link to 00:23:00
I would be raising 3Q3 here (also note, it's not a 3-bet but a 2-bet
). He can be stealing here fairly wide and it will justified if we are folding a hand this strong. Even if he's not stealing, our hand actually does pretty well with the two suits and the big kicker. If we had 363 no suit then it would be a completely different story and our hand would have not nearly as much equity.
Just think about how easy of a steal he has, especially if we fold 3Q3, as we will be playing very few hands at that point.
Posted over 2 years ago
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DJ Sensei
3025 posts
Joined 10/2007
jjd323
591 posts
Joined 08/2008
jjd323
591 posts
Joined 08/2008
Time Link to 00:53:58
His play with the T door here is expert if he thinks he takes this line with any two down cards (which is quite likely) given that board should garner maximum fold equity.
dead cards: 649
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
(4-4-T)5J8 39.25% 235,083 796
**7A28 60.75% 364,121 796
Furthermore, I *really* dislike the bet on the end from HANDOFGOD
Posted over 2 years ago
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DJ Sensei
3025 posts
Joined 10/2007
What is the "worst" hand you bet here, and are you ever bet/folding?
I think if you have a smooth draw, like a 7542 and you make 87542 on the end you can definitely justify a bet/fold as superior to a check/call.
With our 8642 draw, I'd bet when we pick up a 3 or 5 and probably when we make a 7, too (so, basically any 8). Probably betfolding an 87642, but betcalling with an 865 or better. Against unknown mix game players, I typically won't expect them to be capable of bluffraising on the end, but also I don't expect them to have a good handle on relative hand strength. I'd pay lots of attention to the hands you get shown down though, the information you get can be very useful (especially if they show you like a 46789 or something!)
Posted over 2 years ago
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