Poker Video: No Limit Hold'Em by Nolan (Mid Stakes)

waiting for Nolan to make live 6tabling FR series gj

You know this already exists right?

Movin' on up and Ringside has just this...

Hand 1: Would it be bad for villain to play AA like this? It gets extra value from a lot of hands and it is unlikely the hero has a lot of outs against AA. Also not too hard to get stacks in as it is a 3bet pot.

Hand 2: I never fold the river here, though we are probably no good the pot odds are just so massive

The 100nl hands were mine.

I think hand 2 is super interesting. Given SB has a 7% 3bet vs steal from SB over thousands of hands I think it's safe to assume that every AQ combo is in his range. Also on the river I don't know if he'll even be shoving over my raise with lower sets because TT is basically a bluffcatcher on that river.

Polak I don't think is as nitty as he used to be, I'm sure he is much more laggy now.

Polak I don't think is as nitty as he used to be, I'm sure he is much more laggy now.

I fistbumpsnapfold QQ pre and yell "FU Wojtas, I can dodge Bullets, Baby"

fwiw I have Wojtas at 7/6 over a couple of hands at NL200 during the last days and that's not really very laggy even for FR...

Hand 1: Would it be bad for villain to play AA like this? It gets extra value from a lot of hands and it is unlikely the hero has a lot of outs against AA. Also not too hard to get stacks in as it is a 3bet pot.

As villain from hand 1, I see hero's range as a fairly face up TT+. IMO he responds to 3bets oop quite predictably, and while it can be quite successful can also be quite easily exploited. My 3bbing range is going to be largely suited aces on account of the blocker and the extra ~12% equity they have against that range as opposed to junkier suited cards.

On J76r, given that I don't expect cbetting to have much value as a bluff against that range, and he is going to have ~2 outs to improve when I'm ahead because his range doesn't have hands like JT in it, I'm happy to check back with the majority of my range and see a turn in position. Since I'm rarely cbetting as a bluff I'm going to be checking back stuff like AA and KK (almost invulnerable), 76 (low 3b frequency, but I'm happy to see a non-J turn before getting money in), gutshots/oesds (54 is possible but a very small part of my range), etc.

Turns:
A or K - the principle reason to bet my strong hands on the flop would seem to be that I lose action on the turn against his range if an A or K hits, but I win a ton by getting to bluff on an A or K, so I'm not too worried about manipulating my range for higher performance on those (fairly infrequent) turns.
Q - giving up with air, playing a small pot with two pair and AA and KK.
J - assuming he bets into me, i'll be raising a balanced range of trips, AA and KK, and draws. if he checks i'll be betting the same range to shove most rivers.
T - folding or playing a small pot with less than a straight and very occasionally a big draw to balance.
9/8/7/6/5/4/3/2 - if bet into raising a balanced range of AA and KK, straights, two pairs, and draws. if checked to betting with the same ranges to shove most rivers.

Given that his range is so tight and incapable of improvement and I have position I think this makes way more sense than trying to bet three streets to stack KK and QQ or barrel him off them. When I checked back the flop I got immediately put on total air, won a stack on the turn with a decent amount of my range, got it in with 30% equity with these two cards, saved a cbet with AK/AQ...

Humphrey only loses at .8PTbb/100 over 18k hands at NL100 and is actually tighter than optimal, and ghostridahii is a solid if not maniacal reg on the button, so I don't see much merit in skewing away from my gameplan against hero to try to exploit that situation.

I think the fold vs schwatt is definitely the right move. He obv has AQ in his range and I would bet that he is 3betting Q9 as well, at least Q9s.

I would be surprised if he gets to the river like that with KK more than 10%, and even if he does he is more likely to call the raise than shove IMO. The chance of him taking that line from beginning to end with TT is probably about 1%; we are more likely to be shown a bluff, and bluffing there would obviously be very maniacal.

The pot odds are good but we still need to be ahead a little over 20%. Its not that we are ALWAYS beat, but IMHO there is no way we are good 1/5.

I think another reason it could be okay to fold that river is that we have AQ in our range. If he's bluff-shoving it's probably close to a losing play for him even if we are folding everything except AQ.

OTOH, I think it makes way more sense for him to have QQ here than AQ, given flop and turn checks. His line seems completely consistent with QQ to me up until the river shove, which is only inconsistent because we don't expect him to be capable of that play, not because it's wrong. Given what our raising range on the river looks like, and what we do with it to a shove, betting QQ for thin value and then turning it into a bluff when raised looks like +++EV to me.

the JJ fold is totally standard. JJ is like the bottom of your range when you raise the river

Just wanted to say thanks for this series Nolan. Generally I have trouble sitting through vids of this type, but have enjoyed these immensely.

the JJ fold is totally standard. JJ is like the bottom of your range when you raise the river

Yeah vs a real tight guy like schwatt, if we raise the river he folds virtually everything except AQ. So it's a totally pointless raise, 1010 is the only hand he might call to the raise, but he's such a nit he'd prob find a way to fold that too.

Time Link to 00:05:54

Thought the point about thinking about how someone has played you in the past is interesting