# srooney3

### 100NL Top2 vs River donkshove

When 3 regs see a turn on a super dry board, and one of them decides to keep betting, someone has a set nearly every time.

Filter your database for the amount of times a reg ever ov...

over 1 year ago

### Mentor : WiltOnTilt (#12) - 200 HUNL vs Reg

You've definitely made me take another look at this situation, so thanks for that.

You bring up some good food for thought and I can tell y...

over 1 year ago

### Mentor : WiltOnTilt (#12) - 200 HUNL vs Reg

Oops the formula should be: ((Y*Z)+X)*B < (X*R*Z)+((1-Z)*B*X)
Its meant to be a comparison between the EV's of the two options. Bet vs Check.

over 1 year ago

### Mentor : WiltOnTilt (#12) - 200 HUNL vs Reg

I'll try to forumlate my feeling in this situation with variables.
X = Number of Ax combos
Y = Number of 5x of 7x (I'm excluding Tx based on the reasoning above. Ok?)
Z = The amou...

over 1 year ago

### Mentor : WiltOnTilt (#12) - 200 HUNL vs Reg

Your combo math looks a little off, and don't forget to add some frequencies to hands like J9, J8, K9 because theres no way he's checking those anywhere close 100% on the flop (maybe...

over 1 year ago

### Mentor : WiltOnTilt (#12) - 200 HUNL vs Reg

Don't forget how many busted draws we represent.

If its in his mind that we have busted draws on the river, then its more likely he puts us on a semibl...

over 1 year ago

### Mentor : WiltOnTilt (#12) - 200 HUNL vs Reg

QT on Q75ss,T,A, OOP: I dont understand why this is a bet.

We barely get value from his Tx, and majority of his callingrange is...

over 1 year ago

### Mentor : WiltOnTilt (#12) - 200 HUNL vs Reg

can you restate that question, i've read it a few times and i'm kind of lost on what you're asking

I'm kind of lost also when i reread it. But to make ...

over 1 year ago

### Mentor : WiltOnTilt (#12) - 200 HUNL vs Reg

by "surprisingly thin" on the turn, you just mean that we are somewhat surprised that he bet it, not that it is overall a thin bet right?

Yes, I was ...

over 1 year ago

### Mentor : WiltOnTilt (#12) - 200 HUNL vs Reg

I'm not sure if this paragraph makes sense or not, maybe it just comes down to an experience thing.