400 Posts
Member since 04-06-2008
More posts by knut
I don't know.
Betting AQ no heart here, while checking AQ/AJ with a heart here doesn't really add up in my head.
Our range has very few bluffs by the turn (as CO). I agree...
One more thought - how does your guys opinion change if the fish folds pre?
Completely different hand.
His calling range on the flop and tun...
Being readless is the biggest problem. I expect it more likely that an unknown villain is a fish than a good reg in this game (unlike online). I don't mean he has to be a whale, but ...
I don´t think he´s gaining anything by betting.
Do you think a lot of regs check two pair + as the 3 bettor here, or is it more that you think there'...
Depending on his specific steal from CO your 3bet is anything from good to bad.
You can call the river if he's turning made hands into bluffs here often. If he's just gonna show down ...
fwiw, I think his range after calling the turn could be 33, 66, QJs, KJ, AJ.
Not sure about TJs.
You answered this yourself in the 2nd post.
...
Can't be that bad assuming he's floating light and only re-bluffing with the nut-flush draw now and betting all his floats here. You're not reaping much though, good thing to remember.
Does the 4x pre flop raise tell you anything at all. Online 6max a 4x CO raise is 95% sure to be a recreational player, but I would guess this is completely different.
Is the flop cal...
Why?
Is it because a fairly large number of previously 20bb short stackers and mediocre regs have figured out how to play a fairly effective 35bb stack...
so it is domination. but then domination doesn't make the worse hand better in most cases. it only happens with 4-gapper and 5-gapper pairs. so it can't be domination.
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