15 Posts
Member since 02-11-2011
More posts by hauki
More simulation. Winrate 8bb/100 hands, standart deviation 140bb/100hands and 10k hands:
10bin swing: about 65% chance.
20bin swing: about 15% chance.
50k hands:
...
I run some numbers into a risk of ruin bankroll simulator. With a winrate of 8/100bb hitting a -30bin ds is about 22% chance. With a 10bb/100 winrate its about 15%. With a winrate of 10bb/100 hi...
We have a bad relative position on the flop. If your plan is to call his cbet what do you do when bb craises? We just call and accomplish nothing then. Thats why I would lead into this pot here....
1-4 fold. KTT* you can overlimp if the blinds are passive but rather fold its just garbage and you are not that comfortable on many flops cause the hand only hits middle set/2nd flush/flush draw...
The first hand I would call cause btn opening range is so tight. He has most often big pairs in his preflop opening range cause he seems fishy with small preflopraise % and high calling range an...
I would raise this flop most of the time here(even without any hand). It really doesn´t hit his 3-betting range and maybe he can get fancy with his aces. His 0-% 3betting basicly means he got ac...
You also have a blocker to the straight and spr is small so just pot bet the turn and get it in. You got now 1,9:11,4 odds so you definitely have the odds to call. You need about 24% equity to c...
I´d donk the flop. You have decent equity and you get more information what they might have. Also you get KK to fold. As playd you can only fold. I don´t think check calling is an option cause y...
Any other reads or is he unknown? Its hard to get a passive fish to fold a flush here so I would fold.