gamble_ftw

about 1 month ago

[20nl] Checking my logic&math for this overshove

Going by your calling range, which I don't think is as wide as you describe (maybe i am wrong), then why would you shove at all? Any bet size you make will make you lose less when y...

about 1 month ago

[20nl] draw facing big bet on the turn

OTT he'd probably pay quite a bit to draw to a full house, I think he'd pay 20bbs out of a 32bb pot, probably even more so I think we do have IO to call otf. Sure it's pretty marginal but people...

about 1 month ago

[20nl] draw facing big bet on the turn

Do I have the odds to call? Considering his range is most likely sets and flushes, it's probably safe to assume 10 outs instead of 12, getting 3.6:1. Do you think he'll pay me enough on the rive...

about 1 month ago

[20nl] Checking my logic&math for this overshove

BTN: 49.5 BB (VPIP: 74.63, PFR: 50.75, 3Bet Preflop: 17.24, Hands: 69)
Hero (SB): 123.7 BB
BB: 96.3 BB (VPIP: 20.83, PFR: 16.55, 3Bet Preflop: 6.59,...

about 1 month ago

Discussion on range merging mid strength hands with draws etc

SB: 106.4 BB (VPIP: 18.37, PFR: 12.29, AF:3, 3Bet Preflop: 3.70, raise flop cbet: 25%, call from SB: 16 (but call from BB: 4 over ~700 sample each, not sure what this difference means), WTSD: 30...

about 1 month ago

Good spot for C/R on the TURN?

Looks really spewy to me, why 4bet and what's your plan if he shoves? I think his shoving and calling ranges crush you. His 3bet is <6%, no reason to do this.

Flop looks like a c/...

about 1 month ago

20nl a FD in a 3betpot

I'd just call preflop. Your hand has a lot of value vs a BTN range that you're now turning into a bluff, better 3b Ax instead. Also I prefer a polarized range to 3bet, you'll probably lose a lot...

about 1 month ago

TT line check 10nl

Interesting spot. First I thought it's ok to raise turn but I think he can still have AT-AK in his range otf, of course A2,A4 and A9 as well, also all the Ax clubs so without better reads better...

about 1 month ago

Q9s IP vs FISH

Agree with SCS you gotta call. Full house or quads make 22 combos, 9 Kx flush combos if he plays them all like that, so we only need 11 combos of other hands to make you call. That can be 3 wort...

2 months ago

[10nl] Get c/r holding overs in 3b pot, I shove

No if you shove and he calls and you win you win the amount he called plus the money that was already in the pot. You are only risking the amount you are raising though since the mo...