flavas

about 1 year ago

Simple spot

I'm assigning him a range based on a mix of my HUD samples, notes on what hands he's shown down after 3betting, and my experience of playing poker in this spot against opponents like him.

about 1 year ago

Simple spot

Your confusing your HUD stats with your hand. Your holdings don't matter to what hands he's choosing to play over the course of 2000 hands. You could have been dealt in, out, just wa...

about 1 year ago

Simple spot

Then your math is wonky. Like I said, there are 1326 starting hand combos. You originally said 3% and were including hands like AK and QQ. I did math on 3% which is 1326 x 3% = 40 ha...

about 1 year ago

Simple spot

I've never seen him call with AA pre. I don't think this is a spot where it's reasonable for him to even if we had seen him do it before though.

about 1 year ago

Simple spot

Our call-down range is just going to be AA+ against him. On this exact flop I think we call once with KK and fold most turns.

about 1 year ago

Simple spot

The range I was giving him against which 4betting was losing had him with AA less than 50% of the time.

about 1 year ago

Simple spot

This logic is flawed and is really not true at all vs bad opponents.



A range of 6 AA, 6 KK, ~2-3 TT-QQ, 1 QJs, 1 JTs, 1 T9s, is going to do pretty well...

about 1 year ago

Simple spot

I think that calling a somewhat balanced range is going to be profitable as long as we can take him off AA on some boards, and I expect him to make mistakes postflop. I'm calling AA in this spot...

about 1 year ago

Simple spot

He's not 3betting 3% in this spot, he's probably 3betting something like 0.8% in this spot.

about 1 year ago

Ansky's Antics : Episode Six

The point you made on ATs was really good too. I get carried away thinking about optimal ranges sometimes, and if I were to play 10,000 hands against a guy 3betting me 25% I think I'd definitely...

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