83 Posts
Member since 07-25-2008
More posts by jim_cannon
Remember guys from a math point of view you have to be good here like 93-95% of the time if you wanna call.
Nope - you have to be good here very sligh...
Villain is 15/11 agg. factor 2.3 over 9k hands. The turn bet by him is odd I think. It's unlikely to be a flush I think as surely he would have been more aggro on the flop if he had a flush draw...
With your reads, yeah I think this is a fold. The way it's played, it looks very strongly like a 9 of some sort that he value bets - a suited connector, an A9 suitd or something. He cbets the fl...
If he does this on a dry board, I think you have to fold, but this board is very wet, straight and flush draws out there that he could be doing this with, so I think shove the turn.
I think people are giving this guy too good of a range for a 40/30 fish. Yes, I understand the sample size isn't massive etc., but if his preflop stats are anything like 40/30, he's a fish - and...
Preflop, seems to be a bit on the loose side I think with what seems to be a good aggro player behind you, unless you're trying to isolate a fish in the blinds.
Get it in on the turn...
why dont you go back to your NLHE 6max game? You apparently already have some good foundations so why not playing the same game with the goal of seriously improving it. Post hands in...
I think it's probably ok. He doesn't / shouldn't check back the turn with AA, KK, QQ or any decent J - AJ, KJ, possibly QJ. So you're getting almost 3-1 on a call, you only need to be better tha...
I don't think that the bet sizing on the flop is really giving his hand away, could just as easily be an A looking to get value, it's still just over a half pot bet. So I think you can fold here...
I really don't think it's a fold (unless you have a read that he's a crazy nit,k which you don't), he could well have two overs and a flush draw, some sort of pair and straight draw, a lower flu...