jk3a debuts his first video in the ghost series with this 4-tabling video review of his own play at $1/2 6max NLHE.
Ghost the best of DeucesCracked in the shorthanded games they play in today.
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Awesome videos, very articulate and hugely helpful -- thanks!
A small quibble however:
AT hand @ 28:00, table 2. You get check-raised on the T42tt flop, check the turn and bet the river in position when the flush gets there. I would definitely not bet here, for the following reasons:
1) The least important is the observation, which you make, that if he has a flush or a full house, you get check-raised, and at a minimum lose the money you put in when you could have checked behind. But that's a really minor point.
2) The most important reason is this: you lose the opportunity to see what he check-raised you with, and don't even win any money besides since he will almost certainly fold all his weak made hands, seeing how the flush got there and you look strong anyway. We often hear coaches (e.g. Grindcore, even yourself elsewhere in this very video!) justifying a call on the river expecting to be beat, but calling nonetheless for information and for making a read. In this hand, you don't even have to call a bet to make the read: all you have to do is check behind! By betting you give him the chance to muck, and as pointed out you're very unlikely to make any money from your bet anyway.
Wow, thanks for watching a vid I made so long ago.
My opinions 3 years later are a bit different than they are now. 1st, I would def bet the turn today. I don't think it's particularly close either. The risk of getting double c/r bluffed/semi-bluffed is so small that it's not enough of a reason to check.
I agree with my old river analysis. The one thing I'd like to add is that his range also includes his flop c/r bluffs like QJ or something. And when he c/f the river I feel pretty confident that he had some kind of weak made hand or a bluff. I don't think knowing exactly what he c/r with is more valuable than a river bet.
Also listening to the AK hand while I'm waiting for the river with AT river, I prefer squeezing now. It would suck to get 4bet, but I think we likely make more money 3betting than calling because of all the times we get folds pf and the money we make postflop when called. I would like calling a bit more if the sb were not a fish or if it were hu with a reg fwiw.
Thanks a lot for replying!
I totally agree with betting the turn. As played I'd still check the river myself, but that's probably because a read in this spot is more valuable to me (I've obviously got much less experience than you and therefore much less of an idea what people might be raising such boards with...)