How do you fell about Bet/Folding river with the J9 hand Blind vs Blind?
I like it because for the following reasons:
1. Villian is passiv, so he might check alot of 10s behind and even things like 99 or 77 which he might hero call with.
2. Since Villian is passiv i like the bet/fold line even more, since we are dictating the amount on river, and he is NEVER showing air. So i would bet around 65$ on river.
Sugeren
b/f looks close, but we don't have the correct equity to valuebet. his range for calling/raising (and I made him to be a calling station):
Board: Td 8d 4s 8c Jc
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 46.226% 45.28% 00.94% 48 1.00 { Js9c }
Hand 1: 53.774% 52.83% 00.94% 56 1.00 { TT, 88, 44, AdJd, ATs, A8s, KdJd, KTs, K8s, QTs+, Qd9d, Q8s, J8s+, T7s+, 97s+, 86s+, ATo, A8o, KTo, QTo, JTo, T8o+, 98o, 87o }
If you just take a few Tx combos out of his range it becomes worse:
Board: Td 8d 4s 8c Jc
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 39.785% 38.71% 01.08% 36 1.00 { Js9c }
Hand 1: 60.215% 59.14% 01.08% 55 1.00 { TT, 88, 44, AdJd, ATs, A8s, KdJd, KTs, K8s, QTs+, Q8s, J8s+, T8s, 97s+, 86s+, ATo, A8o, KTo, QTo, JTo, T8o, 98o, 87o }
So, because we can't valuebet the river, b/f doesn't really is an option for us.
You are right that if villain is passiv he will check back a lot of his Tx and he won't bluff us on the river. But the correct conclusion is that because we can't valuebet and he is never bluffing our only option is to c/f the river.