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Poker Video: No Limit Hold'Em by BalugaWhale (Mid Stakes)

I'm pretty sure he wasn't talking about BW.

Damn... Well now I just look like an ass... I spent 1 whole minute of my time MSPAINTING text over that picture and uploading it... Reading comprehension fail Double Facepalm

1) there's a decent chance that he somehow doesnt bet river, though not an enormous one.

2) given depth, on certain cards (read: spades) I think we can take the pot away from him (maybe this is optimistic).

3) we still have 3 outs

if premise #2 is wrong, though, then it needs to be a fold.

Andrew

I think you are trying to find reasons about not folding but I dont like them tbh Reason 1: he is gonna bet the river very often after the turn c/r + Reason 2: trying to bluff raise a kind of nitty player (small sample obv) representing a FD or something else is a bit spewy + Reason 3 Hmmm + I think Baluga theorem applies on the turn too.

Sample size imo... Everyone at DC loves you B-DUB

HATERS GONNA HATE

I think you need to make this your new avatar BW...

Andrew, do you use any type of color coding system for your notes to help you spot certain types of players?

I really liked the first episode, looking to the rest of the series.

Andrew, do you use any type of color coding system for your notes to help you spot certain types of players?

nah

I think you are trying to find reasons about not folding but I dont like them tbh Reason 1: he is gonna bet the river very often after the turn c/r + Reason 2: trying to bluff raise a kind of nitty player (small sample obv) representing a FD or something else is a bit spewy + Reason 3 Hmmm + I think Baluga theorem applies on the turn too.

in retrospect you might be right, i suppose i had a couple of points to make should the river have played out differently, but i think you're probably right

Andrew

This JJ hand where you call the three bet and flop bet and check it down I notice you said on the river you cant value bet (true) but you also said you cant bluff. Isn't turning your hand into a bluff on this river maybe best. This has to be pretty close to the bottom of your range that gets to the river and villain should probably fold any better one pair to a river bet. If not, what is your bluff range on this river?

what better hands do you envision folding the river?

u dont care about me bro? i care about you

haha I didn't mean you, andrew. I meant the dude making comments about your stats on a PTR website

I commented on somebody saying I was unfair to that guy

thanks for caring haha

how about this-- why am I giving up with air here a lot?

Andrew

Like I said, because the flop pretty coordinated and hits a 3bet-calling range fairly well. He will often have hands like an overpair, pair + gutshot, overs + gutshot, FD´s, overs + bd FD, etc. So he probably isn´t very likely to fold to just one bet. And this board doesn´t hit your percieved 3betting range.

So if you don´t agree with giving up with air here a lot, what´s your plan for the hand and reasoning not to?

Well, if we give up with air, cause this board hits his range pretty well, then we can easily bet for value (cause he'll call with a lot of stuff since he hits that board) when we do have AA. As for the balance point, no need to be balanced vs a guy that's gonna stack with his underpairs regardless.

Like I said, because the flop pretty coordinated and hits a 3bet-calling range fairly well. He will often have hands like an overpair, pair + gutshot, overs + gutshot, FD´s, overs + bd FD, etc. So he probably isn´t very likely to fold to just one bet. And this board doesn´t hit your percieved 3betting range.

So if you don´t agree with giving up with air here a lot, what´s your plan for the hand and reasoning not to?

so i have aces against a guy who will often have hands like an overpair, pair+gutshot, overs+gutshot, FD's, overs +bd FD, etc, and isn't likely to fold to a bet, so i..... check?

so i have aces against a guy who will often have hands like an overpair, pair+gutshot, overs+gutshot, FD's, overs +bd FD, etc, and isn't likely to fold to a bet, so i..... check?

Yeah you have aces this time, but I´m talking about your whole range.

Yeah you have aces this time, but I´m talking about your whole range.

is there something wrong with never bluffing against a guy who's never folding?

what better hands do you envision folding the river?

Any one pair which includes Ax and Kx. It just seems like if you aren't betting a hand like this you don't have any bluffs in your river betting range in a spot where the A of clubs is one of the better cards to bluff. He basically has to fold Ax and Kx if he has it which are the most likely hands that have you beat with this action. I guess this just seems like a spot in which he will have you beat some percentage of the time but is probably folding the river almost always.