Ncoa
166 posts
Joined 09/2008
pkr_brat
797 posts
Joined 01/2008
Triplethink
81 posts
Joined 03/2008
it doesn't cost much more to make a bit bigger raise and it increases our chance of getting it hu.
We have like 55-60% equity against the tilters range. About $2 profit if we get it hu vs him.
I don't remember if the quiz had reads on the blinds, but odd stacks are usually not good players. I wouldn't mind playing a (side)pot with A9s in position.
Posted about 4 years ago
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titibxl
pokerholic
54 posts
Joined 07/2008
Hand #19 : KJo in SB vs a limper & a poster...
Doesn't a $2.5 raise make it a little bit awkward on the flop because of the limper stack size ?
If he calls, there will be $6 in the pot & he will have $8 in his stack. We're pretty much committed to any c-bet we make on the flop.
Isn't a complete or a bigger raise (with the intention of shoving any flop if the limper is the only caller) a better play in that particular spot ?
Posted about 4 years ago
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MPHansen
2001 posts
Joined 07/2008
question4- the reason to raise to $4 as opposed to putting him allin would be so that if someone behind actually has a hand then we lose less when they 3bet. When you raise to 4 he's almost always shoving or folding and it's not like we're not getting it in on any flop if he does just call.
Posted about 4 years ago
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DonkHero
1155 posts
Joined 07/2008
newdevil
16 posts
Joined 03/2008
I don't think cbet flop ist not profitable. I just think check behind is more profitable than betting.
>> With all due respect, how exactly is that possible?
Maybe my thought process is wrong, but if we bet $3.25 to win $5.25 we need
him to fold more than 38%. I assume he has enough air in his range to make the cbet EV+.
On the other hand if we check behind on the flop we win the $5.25 against
his air hands anyway if he doesn't hit one of his 6 outs.
Or we can catch small bluffs on the turn/river like Joe Tall did and get $4 more in with the better hand.
So i think it's close between cbet or c/b.
Just my two cents.
Posted about 4 years ago
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drsmooth
739 posts
Joined 07/2008
good episode, I assumed this was all the execs so a cool surprise to see jk3a.
I liked the concept on bluff catching rivers. We always hear that bluff catching is not going to make us any money at these stakes which obviously isn't entirely true (like most blanket statements) I see the c/c flop and lead river when turn checks through line all the time.
One thing I wasn't sure about was calling with AJo in the small blind. This hand seems really hard to play oop in a multi-way pot and I tend to think a squeeze here is better. Against certain opponents I'd almost prefer folding to calling.
Anyway, I'm off to go and double barrel every 3bet pot I end up in. If I don't report back it is because I am busto with no computer.
Posted about 4 years ago
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TLLL
52 posts
Joined 09/2008
i agree w/ newdevil
The K9 hand, you guys saw that he limp/called T8o and you're trying to argue that cbetting is not profitable?
you do realise we beat T8o?
if we bet he calls w/ all pairs and A/high and folds every hand we beat anyway, so from that perspective a check-behind has a higher ev than a cbet (obv a cbet is still +ev, nobody was arguing it wasn't)
so the only viable argument for cbetting is to make him fold his 6 outers, which actually might tip the scales in favor of cbetting but you didnt even bring this one up when you said cbetting is better
Posted about 4 years ago
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jk3a
898 posts
Joined 01/2008
i agree w/ newdevil
you do realise we beat T8o?
if we bet he calls w/ all pairs and A/high and folds every hand we beat anyway, so from that perspective a check-behind has a higher ev than a cbet (obv a cbet is still +ev, nobody was arguing it wasn't)
so the only viable argument for cbetting is to make him fold his 6 outers, which actually might tip the scales in favor of cbetting but you didnt even bring this one up when you said cbetting is better
Thank you for pointing out that we're ahead of Ten high. Sorry you didn't like my answer. Betting the flop is profitable as a stand alone bet. The EV calc involved in showing that checking is more profitable is quite complicated and beyond the scope of this venue. Betting to protect our hand from 6 outers and semibluff against the part of his range that calls is more than enough reason to bet.
Posted about 4 years ago
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JRuViC
1009 posts
Joined 02/2009
Yeah that K9 hand was a little confusing for me. On one hand, as has been mentioned, we are never getting called by worse/folding out better. (edit: I suppose 5x hands will call) However I think there is much more to consider here. As mentioned in the video, we are doing this to protect our hand, and even if we get called, we still have the outs to the K or 9.
My question to jk3a is...if we do get called here, are there any cards that we are planning to barrel? I don't think an ace is great, king is a no brainer...is a Q/J/T scary enough for him to fold anything? (Including his Ax?)
Posted about 4 years ago
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mgmfiend
45 posts
Joined 03/2009
Maybe my thought process is wrong, but if we bet $3.25 to win $5.25 we need
him to fold more than 38%. I assume he has enough air in his range to make the cbet EV+.
On the other hand if we check behind on the flop we win the $5.25 against
his air hands anyway if he doesn't hit one of his 6 outs.
Or we can catch small bluffs on the turn/river like Joe Tall did and get $4 more in with the better hand.
Dear sir, you do realize that to win $5.25 UI first we need to get to showdown and avoid a bluff/semibluff turn bet from him? And showdown is two freakin' cards away!!!
Posted about 4 years ago
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JRuViC
1009 posts
Joined 02/2009
JRuViC
1009 posts
Joined 02/2009
For the last hand with 55 on 322 flop, don't we think that between three of these guys, usually at least one is going to hold a PP(44 being the only one which we beat)? I know the result goes against what I'm saying, but I see this multi-way pot constantly at 25/50NL and with 4 guys in there, it is extremely rare that none of them have a PP.
I mean sure it is the best flop we can hope for aside from a 5, but 4 ways is it really that great of a flop? I actually thought this was a pretty easy C/F, as I'm also not very comfortable running a double barrel in a 4way pot. I can't see how betting $8 gets value from anything...at BEST we then have to double barrell against a range which could equally be overcards/pp's(one of which we are just value towning ourselves)...
edit: I guess my question is...how often do we have to get a fold out of all three players to make this a profitable c-bet? I just see other PP's flipped here sooooooooooooo often at these stakes.
Posted about 4 years ago
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jk3a
898 posts
Joined 01/2008
Yeah that K9 hand was a little confusing for me. On one hand, as has been mentioned, we are never getting called by worse/folding out better. (edit: I suppose 5x hands will call) However I think there is much more to consider here. As mentioned in the video, we are doing this to protect our hand, and even if we get called, we still have the outs to the K or 9.
My question to jk3a is...if we do get called here, are there any cards that we are planning to barrel? I don't think an ace is great, king is a no brainer...is a Q/J/T scary enough for him to fold anything? (Including his Ax?)
QJT would def be decent cards to barrel.
Posted about 4 years ago
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