Pot Limit Omaha Poker Forums

Villain is hyper aggro but somewhat sane postflop. He reraises 35% preflop but has toned it down a bit since we got superdeep. I'm convinced he has the As in his hand here because otherwise I can definitely have the nuts here. The two things I was torn about was that I expected him to just bet the turn w/ the NFD, but also if he just had the naked As, it's really hard for him to have a hand to chk-call the turn with and then turn it into a bluff. A lot of stuff ends up making a straight. There was one hand we played before where on an Axy42 board with betting/raising on the flop and turn, he c/r'd pot on the river w/ the nuts but I had the nuts too so we chopped. Here is another hand where he tried a bluff:

Poker Stars $5/$10 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 2 players - View hand 42850
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BB: $2978.00
Hero (BTN/SB): $6241.00

Pre Flop: ($15.00) Hero is BTN/SB with 5 6 A J
Hero raises to $30, BB calls $20

Flop: ($60.00) T K 9 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($60.00) 3 (2 players)
BB bets $59.50, Hero calls $59.50

River: ($179.00) K (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $150, BB raises to $628.50, Hero raises to $1385, BB folds

Final Pot: $1436.00
Hero mucks 5 6 A J
Hero wins $1435.50
(Rake: $0.50)

There were also maybe 4-5 bluffs he showed in reraised pots where he basically bluffed the river in spots where I showed weakness. He never really tried to bluff me off a strong hand.

Here is the hand in question:

Poker Stars $5/$10 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 2 players - View hand 42852
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BB: $3950.75
Hero (BTN/SB): $5258.25

Pre Flop: ($15.00) Hero is BTN/SB with J 3 Q 5
Hero raises to $30, BB calls $20

Flop: ($60.00) T 2 3 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $50, BB raises to $140, Hero calls $90

Turn: ($340.00) Q (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $250, BB calls $250

River: ($840.00) K (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $675, BB raises to $2864.50, Hero ?

OK more relevant info:

his vpip oop is 67% and I'm probably raising close to 90-95% of buttons. His pfr oop is 42% which is all reraising since I'm not limping buttons.

Just a quick read -- The premise that he has the A in his hand is reasonable. Wouldn't it make a lot of sense for any hand that turned the nut flush draw to just bet again? He figures to have good equity versus your range and he can't expect to get raised too often.

I've played a lot of hands the way villain did here, and I'd say I'm bluffing a lot. It's a simple thought process:

c/r the T23r flop with whatever (usually something pretty marginal), turn like a top pair or pair+weak draw along with the fake nut flush draw and go for the check/call

then on the river maybe I have the pair of K's or Q's or a weak two pair and I just want to show it down and then run into this vb and make the donk jam

I'd expect the NFD to barrel the turn here but it's not out of the question that he check-called it for whatever reason. Just going by combinatorics, he has the naked Ace ~30% more often than nut flush here. I'd look him up here.

I think with deep stacks an aggro player like this is WAY more likely to bet the NFD on the turn, or even c/r it when you bet... I would call river.