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1/2 rush, AA OOP in squeezed pot


RapidEvolution

Avatar for RapidEvolution

Coach
310 posts
Joined 06/2008

Full Tilt Poker $200.00 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players - View hand 590421
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

MP2: $200.00
CO: $230.00
BTN: $147.60
Hero (SB): $328.70
BB: $200.00
UTG: $62.00
UTG+1: $171.00
UTG+2: $262.65
MP1: $496.75

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is SB with A Club A Diamond
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $5, UTG+2 calls $5, MP1 calls $5, 3 folds, Hero raises to $27, 2 folds, UTG+2 calls $22, MP1 calls $22


My hud's working but no stats come up for either villain. In retrospect, I think my squeeze is too small. It should probably be 32-35 given the small opening size, stack depth, and number of callers.

Flop: ($88.00) 5 Spade 5 Heart 7 Diamond (3 players)
Hero bets $49.00, UTG+2 folds, MP1 calls $49

This is probably the best board I could've hoped for. I expect to get peeled here by pockets for at least one street and if someone happened to flat JJ-KK, I'm getting their monies. Thoughts on bet-sizing are welcome, but given the paired board and rainbowness, I feel like this is fine. I'm obviously happy to get a caller.

Turn: ($186.00) K Spade (2 players)
Hero

TBH, I don't like the turn.I don't expect Kx to make up a significant portion of an unknown's calling range both preflop AND on the flop. If he had a PP, it's pretty unlikely that I'll get value from it now (and since he's unknown, I'm not too worried about balancing my range here.) If he does have a king, a lot of money is going in either way (imo), so I think the best plan here is to play it passive on the turn and river. I'm not sure how often an unknown is turning a small pair or air into a bluff here, but I've gotta think it's more likely that him peeling both preflop and flop with a K. Thoughts anywhere along the line? Is there some argument for betting here that I'm missing out on? Thanks!

Posted almost 2 years ago

KritiKal

Avatar for KritiKal

67 posts
Joined 07/2008

Without a read I'm checking here most of the time. The only two reasons I can see to bet are villain is very fishy and will call down here with weaker because the pot is just too big. Also, he may spaz out and shove over a small bet but he's probably more likely to just bet the river after you check it back if he's that player type. If I was going to bet turn it would something in the neighborhood of $40-60.

Posted almost 2 years ago

wcaines

Avatar for wcaines

85 posts
Joined 08/2008

It's hard to imagine a player turning some PP into a bluff on the K if you ck since AK has to be a big part of your perceived range here. How wide is your perceived PF range in this spot to the avg 1-2 guy? I don't see how he gets to the turn w/o at least some pair and therefore can't have just 1 K in his hand. Although because of the great implied odds (again which assumes your range is very tight or that he's even thinking about your range) i guess he could have 86s maybe which calls the flop. The % of players who will float this flop w/o a pair has to be pretty small. You need to be a special kind of bad or good to do this i think. It is read dependent and we have none, but I think there is a significant % of players who will be more willing to put you on the K here if you check than if you bet this perceived excellent barreling card and therefore might be willing to give you that 1 street of value on the turn as opposed to the river if you ck this. I don't know if this is higher than the % that will think exactly the opposite.

Posted almost 2 years ago

Gauss

Avatar for Gauss

378 posts
Joined 03/2009

88 to qq can call kx can call, spades can call. i think you bet for value. you should charge draws of all varieties imo. on the end you can check call with this hand i think, absent Ace. the good news is i think you can get away with half pot on the turn, its enough to charge draws and get value. its hard to imagine him having ak given card removal, but he might have it and will hemmorage money imo.

i like your line against a good villan, but you just have no info here so its bet bet bet imo

Posted almost 2 years ago

Gauss

Avatar for Gauss

378 posts
Joined 03/2009




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