Alright little doggies lets get back into the classroom. DOGISHEAD and Gman discuss Heads Up theory again with topics on preflop play, constructing raising and 3-bet ranges, board textures and c-betting/bluffing.
You asked for it. You got it. The DOG in all his glory along with Gman discuss theory and actual play as they move from 50NL to 5000NL Heads Up.
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Can someone provide a full fold equity calculation here?
EV = (calling frequency)*(avg. amount won when he calls) + (folding frequency)*(amount won when he folds)
Calling frequency is just 1-(folding frequency). The avg won when he calls is (equity)*(size of pot) - (bet size), and when he folds we win the dead money in the pot. So,
EV = (1 - FE)*(E*200 - 89) + FE*38
Setting EV=0 and solving for FE gives us (89-E*200)/(127-E*200), or about 29 percent.
Oh, and this is my favorite series so far and I don't even play HU. Good work guys!
Awesome, and I don't bandy out praise that easily. It's quite amazing how rational and easy you guys make it look.
Really enjoyed the bluff calculation and has left me looking at bluffing in a different way.
Also the combination of pairs mentioned by gman was an eye opener. Roll on next week, I'm really looking forward to learning about manipulating my bet sizing. Something I have been trying out as of late.
I am getting the fold equity of the 44 hand to be 20.8%.
I calculated as follows, please help me where I went wrong.
ALL in EV = (38+89)(0.366) - (89)(0.634) = $-10. so on average we lose 10 dollars when we make this play and he calls every time, with the range given.
To calculate fold equity, let fold equity = x,when he folds we win $38 and when he calls we lose on average $10. Equate to 0 to find the break even point.
x(38) - (1-x)(10) = 0
From the above calculation i get the fold equity equal to 0.208 or 20.8%.
Please let me know where I made my mistake.