Micro Stakes Online NL Poker Forums

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
Hero ($10.87)
BB ($10.30)
UTG ($10.55)
UTG+1 ($9.27)
CO ($23.80)
BTN ($10.32)

Dealt to Hero A A

fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.20, CO calls $0.20, fold, Hero raises to $1.10, fold, UTG+1 calls $0.90, CO calls $0.90

FLOP ($3.40) 4 6 3

Hero bets $1.80, UTG+1 folds, CO calls $1.80

TURN ($7) 4 6 3 K

Hero bets $3.50, CO raises to $7, Hero raises to $7.97 (AI), CO calls $0.97

RIVER ($22.94) 4 6 3 K 4

CO is 23/12, agr fr 14/21/14
MP is 80/11 fish

First of all CO is likely to raise 77+ pockets and broadway pre. So he can have small pp's or small suited connectors. He called flop pretty fast. What do you guys think about his turn raising range? I think it's not likely for him to raise turn with pair+draw (hands like 56s, 45s, 67s) giving his passiveness. So there are only sets here and I must b/fold? And what do you think about sizings?

Without any info about villain this is a guessing game, can you tell us something about him?
This is a 3bet pot. Given this history (preflop call UTG+1, and call your squeeze, call flop, raise turn) he probably has set, but the problem isn't this with the hand I think. The pot is big on the flop, 34bb, so you should go all-in on the turn. Bet 2.50-2.80$ on the flop and shove the turn. You played well, doesn't matter, what he has. (probably at higher limits this is far more complex, but here, at NL10, you can do this with AA all the time in spots like this)
In this hand, he can bluff the turn too, if he thinks, that your flop/turn half pot bets shows weakness.
If you bet 2.50-2.80$ on the flop, and he raises you, hm... that's a close thing, but I think I wouldn't fold it in a squeezed pot.

PF is fine, we're raising for value pure and simple.
cbet is a little small though. i'd bet about 3/4 pot here.
the only hands that will call a cbet in a 3bet pot are JJ+. and maybe AKx. so get value from them.

i think the hand played out fine. with his high AF, he can easily have KQs, AKx within his range on the turn. we still need to know what his range is, but i hink stacking off here is fine.

the only hands that will call a cbet in a 3bet pot are JJ+. and maybe AKx. so get value from them.

you dont think villain would call a Cb w 77+ here ?

not really. more chance to get a call from AKx or a higher PP.

If villain setmines vs your 3b getting 12-1 than let him stack your AA when he gets lucky. He's still losing money. And I've seen enough spew in 3b pots to almost never fold AA (unless it's 789 monotone or sth).

OP, how much have you been 3betting/squeezing? The stronger your range pre the more likely it is that CO will be able to set-mine profitably, particularly with the fish coming along.

OP, how much have you been 3betting/squeezing? The stronger your range pre the more likely it is that CO will be able to set-mine profitably, particularly with the fish coming along.

You can't setmine profitably getting 12-1 even vs AK, QQ+ range.

This is well played. I can't see folding here for 100bbs in a 3-bet pot with an overpair.

You can't setmine profitably getting 12-1 even vs AK, QQ+ range.

I disagree that it can't be profitable to set-mine in this spot.

BTW, I'm not saying this was badly played at all, just saying that CO may have been able to justifiably set-mine.

I definitely think you have to call it off on the turn as played.