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NL20SH 3way KJ TP+FD on J high drawy turn

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FlyingMachine

Avatar for FlyingMachine

281 posts
Joined 11/2010

UTG: 149 hands, 17/11, AFq: 36%, AF:1,6, Flop cbet: 33% (2/6), Turn cbet: no stat, WtSD: 12%, W$SD: 0
MP: 237 hands, 36/17, AFq: 43%, AF: 1,35, WtSD: 26%, W$SD: 53%, Fold to flop cbet: 47%, Fold to turn cbet: 0/2

Ongame Network $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1849512
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

CO: $20.00
BTN: $21.10
Hero (SB): $19.80
BB: $10.28
UTG: $12.57
MP: $13.29

Pre Flop: ($0.30) Hero is SB with J Spade K Spade
UTG raises to $0.60, MP calls $0.60, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.50, 1 fold

Flop: ($2.00) 8 Club J Heart T Spade (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $1, MP calls $1, Hero calls $1

Turn: ($5.00) 3 Spade (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $2.50, MP calls $2.50

Hero?

UTG's bet size is only half pot on both street, but it's a 3way draw heavy board, and he isn't agressive, so he has some kind of a strong hand, or strong draw. Given his stats, and that he is UTG, I think his range is 88, TT, JJ, KQ, QQ, KK, AA, JT (sometimes) AsQs. MP is spewy, so he can call here with 1 pair type hands, draws, 9x, and even trash two pairs, what he doesn't raise, he is kinda passive too. I'm not afraid of MP, I think I'm ahead of his range. The question here is, that what is better:
1. Call, and if flush hits go all-in.
2. C/r all-in, and using some FE (I think we can have against MP's KQ, and even against his QQ-AA)

Posted 10 months ago

elcholodeamor

Avatar for elcholodeamor

157 posts
Joined 07/2008

I'd rather see a call than a c/r AI. If we crai I don't think utg is folding QQ-AA ever because he is short stacked and there is an obvious straight draw on the board and a flush draw picked up too. He is probably aware of this and is rarely folding an overpair, IMO. As well, we push out the fishy MP who we may be able to trap in between a raise because of our perfect relative position.
We have implied odds too, because we are likely going to get it AI if we hit our flush because it is disguised, and mp is playing his hand like a straight draw or a set, AND UTG probably has a strong range.

Posted 10 months ago




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