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50NL Zoom : FD + GS facing a 3 bet OTF

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MaskedManQc

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611 posts
Joined 02/2011

I have 41 hands on vilain and so far he steal 43% (60% from CO / 0% from BTN).
I have him at 25/20
He is not overly aggressive postflop, with a 1.7 agg factor, but 60% OTF (probably due to 100% flop cbet so far)

My sample size is way too small to be significant, but this is only what I have.

I think that flatting and 3 betting are probably fine in this spot. As played on the flop. I think this is an obvious c/raise, as I have a ton of pot equity and probably a lot of FE as well.

When I face a raise, I think his range is probably something like :

QQ, 99, 88
TJs
AClubTClub
AClubQClub

I don't know if he would play other suited aces this way, but this do not affect a lot or equity (worse case we have 30%).

Vs the specific range above, we get 33% pot odds, but we will likely have to call OTT 22$ into a big pot, so I am not even sure we can fold OTT, unless the boards pair. Calling seems like a bad option oop. Is anyone shoving this flop? Seems like a very close spot to me.



Poker Stars $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1849002
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $50.00
SB: $54.36
Hero (BB): $58.84
UTG: $110.71
MP: $100.47
CO: $47.55

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BB with J Club K Club
2 folds, CO raises to $1.50, 2 folds, Hero calls $1

Flop: ($3.25) 9 Club 8 Club Q Heart (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $2.50, Hero raises to $8.50, CO raises to $24

Posted 10 months ago

Frank959

Avatar for Frank959

214 posts
Joined 02/2012

I don't think we can fold here....At this point I would just ship the rest in....We can't always think villain has a better flush than us...If villain has a set of 88, 99, or QQ we have 13 outs to make a better hand....

Posted 10 months ago

orange

Avatar for orange

1112 posts
Joined 02/2008

I think you need to just go all in at this point. You can't really call due to the SPR.

I also think your range estimation might be a tad tight, but I guess you will know better than me since you played against villain.

Posted 10 months ago

MaskedManQc

Avatar for MaskedManQc

611 posts
Joined 02/2011

I think you need to just go all in at this point. You can't really call due to the SPR.

I also think your range estimation might be a tad tight, but I guess you will know better than me since you played against villain.



Well, I don't know that much more about vilain. Also, I am kind of new to 6 max, as my main game is 100NL FR Zoom, so if you have some input on vilain's estimated range, they are welcome. Smile

Posted 10 months ago

poker122988

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6 posts
Joined 03/2012

you have about 51% equity with flush and gut shot its a easy snap shove on the flop... but when we go back and review our hand like you did his range is extremely strong and some times he has better flush draw. if im playing my A game i can fold this.

Posted 10 months ago




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