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Sick QQ hand for stacks

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pokerlover

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687 posts
Joined 11/2009

6 players - View hand 1844574
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BB: $11.38 - VPIP: 36, PFR: 24, 3B: 4, AF: 0.8, Hands: 237
UTG: $9.98 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 20, 3B: 5, AF: 2.5, Hands: 236
MP: $20.19 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 20, 3B: 6, AF: 1.1, Hands: 114
Hero (CO): $20.51 - VPIP: 32, PFR: 23, 3B: 8, AF: 2.9, Hands: 5356
BTN: $23.21 - VPIP: 29, PFR: 23, 3B: 12, AF: 2.3, Hands: 73
SB: $7.46 - VPIP: 35, PFR: 14, 3B: 10, AF: 2.2, Hands: 139

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is CO with Q Club Q Diamond
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.35, 2 folds, BB raises to $1.20, Hero calls $0.85

Flop: ($2.45) 3 Club 7 Diamond 4 Diamond (2 players)
BB bets $1.52, Hero calls $1.52

Turn: ($5.49) 8 Club (2 players)
BB bets $3.91, Hero calls $3.91

River: ($13.31) 7 Heart (2 players)
BB bets $4.75, Hero calls $4.75

Final Pot: $22.81
BB shows K Diamond K Spade
Hero shows Q Club Q Diamond
BB wins $21.67
(Rake: $1.14)

Posted 11 months ago

pokerlover

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687 posts
Joined 11/2009

I don't know how I could improve my play here- my passive line seems to minimize my losses, but somehow I felt like he had a strong or better hand here

is it a mistake to put the villain on a wider range in 6max here say 99+, ATs+? maybe it was the timing that led me to believe he had a strong range here that went contrary to his numbers
should I loosen his range here based on position and his numbers or go with my gut? but I still don't know how I can fold QQ overpair here?

Posted 11 months ago

pokerlover

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687 posts
Joined 11/2009

maybe if the stacks were really deep like 500BB I could fold an overpair on a really wet board right?

Posted 11 months ago

1bigazzdog

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194 posts
Joined 05/2011

Under what assumptions did you decide to flat preflop villains 3betting range has alot of equity vs QQ?

Posted 11 months ago

Noreaga

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304 posts
Joined 10/2011

Not really a sick hand.
This guy despite looking like very loose and aggressive at first glance, has a very low 3b%, which should tell you that he probably doesn`t have many bluffs in his 3b range.
Also you should take a look at his turn and river Af, and with what hands is he getting to sd with.
As played i would fold the turn.

Posted 11 months ago

SCS

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6276 posts
Joined 06/2008

4bet/call preflop.

1) Sample size isn't that big.
2) 4% is 3 bet overall. It says nothing about how often he is 3 betting from the blinds vs a steal attempt, which is usually going to be higher. It also says nothing about how villain perceives you, which could change villain's 3 bet%, and range.
3) Even if villain's 3 bet% was 4%, and he never folded to a 4 bet, QQ is still a 4bet for value.


Equity Win Tie
MP2 52.99% 51.65% 1.34% { QQ }
MP3 47.01% 45.66% 1.34% { TT+, AQs+, AKo } (3.77% of hands)

Posted 11 months ago

pokerlover

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687 posts
Joined 11/2009

how do you know to fold the turn? I see if he has only JJ+ at the turn then I am behind but if it is TT+ at the turn I am 50% equity. I am also stealing and raising a lot pre flop, maybe 90% steal from the button.
do you check showdown hands with the HM1 player detail window? but I could never get this to work.
it's also a question whether he has AQ in his range preflop. I flat because he seems very aggressive and I want to disguise my hand and get more value, because I haven't 4 bet a lot at NL10 here and I think people are folding like 80% or more to 4 bets.
It's kind of difficult to grind long hours with the health problems I have now despite seeing all these doctors.

Posted 11 months ago

pokerlover

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687 posts
Joined 11/2009

is anyone making money on carbon/merge? even at the lower limits it seems impossible unless you play perfectly
I want to know the truth, is NLHE dead on the internet? is PLO profitable at all?

Posted 11 months ago

djdoodoo

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65 posts
Joined 05/2010

ok i see no reason not to 4bet here for vlalue and call off a shove. as played im not sure youre ever doing anything but getting value stacked especially with two diamonds on the flop.

Posted 11 months ago

pokerlover

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687 posts
Joined 11/2009

It is not good to fold here because villain range is too wide
maybe if it was 1%

Posted 11 months ago

pokerlover

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687 posts
Joined 11/2009

you don't think villian might float once with AK at least? it's hard to know which player type/stats would do that? I just think it seems like terrible to fold QQ on this board, maybe TT I might see to tight 3 bet stats
but I don't really know I don't have access to a large hand sample since I got attacked by a computer virus

Posted 10 months ago

kReATivE

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179 posts
Joined 05/2012

is anyone making money on carbon/merge? even at the lower limits it seems impossible unless you play perfectly
I want to know the truth, is NLHE dead on the internet? is PLO profitable at all?



Yeah, I'm making money on carbon/merge playing NLHE.

Posted 10 months ago

shuttle

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3359 posts
Joined 11/2008

Say you want to look at this from more a gto perspective.
Start by thinking about how many combinations of hands 4% represents. Then start thinking about how often your opponent will need to be bluffing all 3 streets if he is continuing with QQ+ always in order for you to have a profitable river call.

Posted 10 months ago

iluv68

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657 posts
Joined 03/2011

pokerlover

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687 posts
Joined 11/2009

Thanks for the replies! So do you think that he is only 3 betting AK, 99+ maybe? Mr. Shuttle, do you mean that I should assume b/c of stats that this player is only 3 barrelling QQ+ here and not betting 99? I'm not sure what you mean by the GTO idea? It seems like only an advanced player would 1 barrel 99-TT and my button open is 90% or greater so that would induce more aggression it seems
sometimes I might peel a dry flop and try to take down the pot on the turn

it seems pretty possible to 3 bet 99+,AK,AQ here. If he is 3 barrelling 99+ then I have enough equity to call down to showdown, but vs QQ+ I don't
it seems there is some bluff frequency here on a dry board at least for some players, so maybe the agg freq stat is good?

so I guess I should take the preflop equity advantage by 4 betting QQ+ and gaining EV that way?

Or maybe some players when they see me call this dry flop they are going to put me on a pair and shutdown?

what reason is there not to see 99-JJ in villain range OTR?

Posted 10 months ago




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