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50 NL: Trips vs (possible) bad reg. Need help on the river ;)

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axel1

Avatar for axel1

83 posts
Joined 04/2010

Hey,

i don't know if i should bet on the river, and if not, should i check/call or check/fold? Also, do you like my play on flop and turn?

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Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
SB ($86.86)
Hero ($70.95)
UTG ($52.16)
CO ($50)
BTN ($61.07)

Dealt to Hero TDiamond AClub

fold, CO raises to $1.50, fold, SB calls $1.25, Hero calls $1

FLOP ($4.50) ADiamond KDiamond 5Heart

SB checks, Hero bets $3.50, CO calls $3.50, SB folds

TURN ($11.50) ADiamond KDiamond 5Heart AHeart

Hero bets $6.50, CO calls $6.50

RIVER ($24.50) ADiamond KDiamond 5Heart AHeart 8Club

Hero?
----

Villain is a reg, but he might be a bad reg, because i have seen him doing stupid stuff like calling a 3-bet vs a fish with A3s and bluffing 3 streets... He is playing 33/28 over 239 hands.

The SB is a 48/17 fish.

Preflop: I called because i have position on the fish and i have a decent hand. + CO can have worse Tx and Ax hands in his opening range.

Flop: I hit TP and the fish checks to me. I decided to lead, because i don't want the preflop raiser to check back. I think he would check back many hands, like: QQ, JJ, TT,..., Kx..., and i don't want that it gets checked through, because i don't want to give the SB a free card + i want to get value from SB's worse Ax, Kx, 66-TT, Flush Draws and Straight Draws. But the CO calls and the fish folds....

I think his range for calling my bet looks like: Ax, Kx, Brodways, flush draws and maybe QQ-JJ. I don't think he flats AA, KK, 55, AK or A5.

Turn: I have trips now and decied to bet for value. I think villain can call with worse Ax and draws (and maybe with something like KQ, KJ,..).

River: I'm not sure if i can bet for value again or if i should check/call or check/fold (does he bet a worse hand for value, does he (turn a hand into a) bluff?)

Posted 10 months ago

7GramRocks

Avatar for 7GramRocks

64 posts
Joined 07/2012

i like squeezing pf.

Flop, I think its hard to get value here from alot of worse hands, your at (or below) the bottom of your value range to normally lead out + you have no idea of your opponents ranges yet.

Your turn bet is too small. There's alot of draws out there, and they're not folding for $9.

I would bet like 1/2 pot again on the river and hope i get put on a missed draw.

Overall, i would not lead this flop board tho. I think its really hard to get solid value from the fish in this spot AND you have to deal with the bad reg when he calls. What was your plan on a Diamond, K, Q, J or blank?

Posted 10 months ago

axel1

Avatar for axel1

83 posts
Joined 04/2010

i like squeezing pf.

I thought abou it too. But i think that flatting is better, because we are guaranteed to play a decent hand IP vs a fish. And by 3-betting we risk making him fold.

Flop, I think its hard to get value here from alot of worse hands, your at (or below) the bottom of your value range to normally lead out + you have no idea of your opponents ranges yet.

I think the fish calls with worse Ax, Kx, 66-JJ, QJ, QT, JT, 23, 34, 24 and flush draws. And i don't mind if the CO folds.

Your turn bet is too small. There's alot of draws out there, and they're not folding for $9.

Yeah, i agree!

I would bet like 1/2 pot again on the river and hope i get put on a missed draw.


Overall, i would not lead this flop board tho. I think its really hard to get solid value from the fish in this spot AND you have to deal with the bad reg when he calls. What was your plan on a Diamond, K, Q, J or blank?

I'd check and give up on a diamond, K, Q or J and i'd bet again for calue on a blank

Posted 10 months ago

Gizardpuke

Avatar for Gizardpuke

2130 posts
Joined 09/2008

7GramRocks

Avatar for 7GramRocks

64 posts
Joined 07/2012

yeah, i miss read this. I do like v-betting vs the fish. Not sure what i was thinking.

Posted 10 months ago

NoWayFolding

Avatar for NoWayFolding

3807 posts
Joined 03/2008

Bet river for value against Ax and kx and rep missed draws.

Posted 10 months ago




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