In this hand overcalling pre w/the QTs I'd estimate is prob slightly +EV. CO is a nittish/sucky first level 18/14 TAG who tends to show aggression in spots were it's not really warranted (like barreling on Q hi when the board pairs on the turn vs. a guy that is obviously not going anywhere) and isn't really comfortable w/the concept of SD value. SB is a really loose/bad (tho not that all passive) player who likes to call from the blinds and is super-peely on flops but folds to barrels a lot. BB is just an unimaginative rock and only squeezes 4%.
So when I get the spot I want playing in position vs. two pretty bad players and SB donks on all hearts and CO overcalls I think just folding here could even be the best play since it looks like SB has an AQ/KQ/QJ type hand that he wants protect and sometimes even a weak flush and COs range, tho he in general doesn't like to fold to cbets a whole bunch, just looks pretty strong to me (like a Q w/a good heart or overs w/a flush draw at least). Anyway when I call and it checks to me on the turn I think it's a really interesting spot and I think all my options pretty much suck donkey balls. What's our line?
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
SB ($19.80)
BB ($20)
UTG ($35.79)
CO ($38.58)
Hero ($24.51)
Dealt to Hero Q
T
fold, CO raises to $0.60, Hero calls $0.60, SB calls $0.50, fold
FLOP ($2) 4
Q
7
SB bets $1.50, CO calls $1.50 Hero calls $1.50
TURN ($6.50) 4
Q
7
8
SB checks, CO checks
