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NL10 set vs river check/raise on 3 flush board

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betman313

Avatar for betman313

1759 posts
Joined 09/2010

Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1828378
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $9.35
SB: $7.01
BB: $31.08
UTG: $15.43
MP: $11.77
Hero (CO): $12.47

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is CO with 8 Spade 8 Club
UTG raises to $0.30, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.30, 3 folds

Flop: ($0.75) 4 Diamond 8 Diamond 5 Diamond (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.54, UTG calls $0.54

Turn: ($1.83) Q Club (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $1.40, UTG calls $1.40

River: ($4.63) 3 Spade (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $3.30, UTG raises to $8.30, Hero??

Villain 43/14 after 7 hands

i am getting odds of 3.25 : 1

how often do you think he takes this line with worse for vlaue?

can he ever be bluffing?

do we call?

Posted 10 months ago

ThinkingQuest

Avatar for ThinkingQuest

3 posts
Joined 07/2012

7 hands is too small a sample size. So his stats basically tell us nothing.

Unless I have history or a specific read(know this opponent is a monkey or something), I'd assume he is never bluffing like this.

The river is a blank, I don't think this 3 helped him. So I think he slow played a big made flush very often.

Posted 10 months ago

fezoff

Avatar for fezoff

81 posts
Joined 07/2011

After you've taken a value line on flop, turn and river I would never expect him c/r anything we beat.

Posted 10 months ago




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