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10 NL River bet size

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cowman9000

Avatar for cowman9000

49 posts
Joined 06/2012

This is a hand I played where villian is a bad aggro maniac.
My main concern is my river bet size that is the most +EV.
I haven't done the calculation yet, but villian has playing like 60% VPIP over a small sample.
Any thoughts?
Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1823891
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

SB: $10.84
BB: $14.02
Hero (UTG): $8.10
MP: $3.25
CO: $15.77
BTN: $10.11

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is UTG with 9 Heart 9 Spade
Hero raises to $0.30, 3 folds, SB calls $0.25, BB calls $0.20

Flop: ($0.90) 5 Club 5 Heart K Club (3 players)
SB checks, BB bets $0.40, Hero calls $0.40, SB folds

Turn: ($1.70) 8 Heart (2 players)
BB bets $0.90, Hero calls $0.90

River: ($3.50) 9 Diamond (2 players)
BB bets $1.40, Hero raises to $6.50 all in, BB folds

Final Pot: $6.30
Hero wins $6.02
(Rake: $0.28)

Posted 10 months ago

SCS

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6245 posts
Joined 06/2008

Looks fine. I assume you were planning on calling if river was the 2Diamond?

Posted 10 months ago

Langerz

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4792 posts
Joined 02/2007

I think the bet size is fine. It's pretty much either this or a min raise. Both look pretty strong, I doubt villain's calling frequency changes that much between the sizes.

Posted 10 months ago

xsAir

Avatar for xsAir

73 posts
Joined 03/2012

I think this is a perfect line really. Considering his VPIP there are plenty of worse hands that he would call your all in with. He probably just didn't have anything... he might have folded his hand to a min bet and he probably had complete garbage. If he had anything at all he would have called given his odds.

There might be a valid argument for betting slightly under pot, but I prefer the shove.

Posted 10 months ago

cowman9000

Avatar for cowman9000

49 posts
Joined 06/2012

Looks fine. I assume you were planning on calling if river was the 2Diamond?


Yeh I was indeed. Villian was a really spewy donkey..
Most likely had a busted FD or some kind of PP...

Posted 10 months ago

orange

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1112 posts
Joined 02/2008

this looks fine. i might consider folding the flop or turn if i thought villain was nittier...but ya. river is good.

Posted 10 months ago

GingerViking

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815 posts
Joined 02/2010

this looks fine. i might consider folding the flop or turn if i thought villain was nittier...but ya. river is good.



Why? This is a good part of our range to bluff catch with on a board that's hard to hit and where similar hands are unlikely to double barrel.

Posted 10 months ago

cowman9000

Avatar for cowman9000

49 posts
Joined 06/2012

Can there be an argument for making a min raise on the river to induce a shove from an aggro-villian with his garbage?
I think he would have bet more on all streets with a K....
Any thoughts?.?.?

Posted 10 months ago

orange

Avatar for orange

1112 posts
Joined 02/2008

Why? This is a good part of our range to bluff catch with on a board that's hard to hit and where similar hands are unlikely to double barrel.


considering villain is donking into 2 others including the PFR, i don't really think our hand is strong enough to stand multiple streets of aggression. i think it's quite easy for villain to barrel away w. many hands as well (fds/sds as well as actual value hands)- our hand isn't going to be able to stand multiple streets of aggression unless he's crazy IMO.

Posted 10 months ago

fezoff

Avatar for fezoff

81 posts
Joined 07/2011

Is there an argument here for min raising to use villains aggressive/maniac tendencies against him? Essentially making him believe he has fold equity? Im not really sure how to make up that EV calc but assume he calls come pp, most K and shoves a missed draw 50% of the time? Am I way off here?

Posted 10 months ago




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