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Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1803811
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BTN: $39.12
Hero (SB): $26.01
BB: $22.87
UTG: $25.00
MP: $32.16
CO: $26.82

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is SB with A A
3 folds, BTN raises to $0.75, Hero raises to $2.50, 1 fold, BTN calls $1.75

Flop: ($5.25) 9 2 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $2.90, BTN calls $2.90

Turn: ($11.05) T (2 players)
Hero bets $6.20, BTN raises to $33.72 all in, Hero ?

villain plays 22/16 with a 46% btn steal and fold to 3bet 38% over 8 samples
no history.

These are the spots where i have difficulty with.
Because i expect him to 3bet QQ-KK a decent % of the time, his turn raise is pretty scary to me.
My experience also is that on 25nl ppl play pretty honest in 3bet pots...
However this guy seems to not be folding much so what is his range on the turn ?
Should i go with it or fold ?

Snap call. Only 3 comboes of TT, 3 comboes of 99 that beat you (he probably doesn't call 22) and he can have 6 komboes of JJ, 6 komboes of QQ and possibly some comboes of KK - I think there is a good chance that NL20 players ship them on this turn.

Do you think he calls the turn with 99,TT because why would he raise those, he already boated up

never folding.

LMAO im never calling. Villain isn't bluffing

LMAO im never calling. Villain isn't bluffing

This isn't a good enough reason.

I think Hayes is joking.
Yea when i look this back seems i can never fold here.
99,TT dont even raise all the time.
I need 28% to call, even if you put 99-TT in his range and with just a few combos of KK youll have 28%

Villain could have T9s

Results?

I don't think I could fold here. He could have 9T or some pair + FD. The shove is kind of weird also, I think he would probably make a smaller raise with a boat or even just called. It is still possible he plays 99 or TT this way. On the other hand, your hand must look like a possible overpair to him so he should know that 9T might not be good. It's a tough spot, without any special reads you can go either way I suppose, fold or call. What did end up happening?

Surprisingly he showed up with A2s here.

Surprisingly he showed up with A2s here.

Not that surprising really.

LMAO im never calling. Villain isn't bluffing

Dont know if this is serious, but I think he can have a lot of bluffs here and semi bluffs.

Not that surprising really.

Yea your right with that low of a fold to 3bet stat A2s is in his range

Should make a lot of money vs this guy