villain is a TAG, he plays 21/18 over 1300 hands. He is a straight forward TAG, with weak-tight tendencies. He folds to most c-bets, folds like always when his c-bets get raised, check/folds on dry boards vs fish as pfr... He folds vs most 3-bets, and when he doesn't fold, he calls and plays fit or fold postflop. He has never 4-bet in this 1300 hand sample!
I did 3-bet him alot in this session, and he adjusted by calling for a time and folding to any c-bet or double barrel. After a few calls, he just stopped calling and folded to 3-bets as usual. ^^
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
Dealt to Hero A T
UTG raises to $0.80, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $2.40, UTG calls $1.60
FLOP ($4.90) 5 K A
Hero bets $2.45, UTG calls $2.45
TURN ($9.80) 5 K A 7
Hero checks, UTG checks
RIVER ($9.80) 5 K A 7 6
Hero bets ....?
Preflop: ATo is too weak to call vs his UTG open, and it's pretty much the top of my folding range, so i decided to turn it into a bluff by 3-betting. I expect to take the pot down preflop often and if not i still can win it postflop by c-betting (given his tendencies), but i'd be a bit more carefull, because he has a tighter range since he opened UTG.
Flop: Uhhh i hit an ace. It's very likely that i have the best hand, and i want to get some value from his medium strenght hands. I think his range for calling the 3-bet looks like 99-QQ, AJ+, KQ, QJ, KJ. I decided to c-bet, because that's what i did all the time. If i check my hand looks like Kx, QQ, JJ... and if i bet i can also represent bluffs, and that's what i want. Also if we check and he bets, we're in an akward spot...
Turn: Once he calls the flop i think he has something like AQ, AJ, KQ, KJ, QQ-99 and QJ. The turn card changes nothing and i decided to check, because, by barreling i'd fold out everything i beat, and if i check my hand looks really weak and bluffy after betting the flop. If he bets more than 1/2 pot i'd probably fold, because it's most likely that he checks back any showdown value hand and just bets hands that beat me.
River: The river is another blank. I think when he checks back the turn, we can narrow his range down to something like 99-JJ, KQ, KJ. How do i get a call from this hands? Should i bet small to make him feel prized in to call or should i bet big to make it look bluffy?
Do you like my plan for the hand?