Micro Stakes Online NL Poker Forums

Ongame Network $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $52.90
SB: $47.42
BB: $61.54
UTG: $10.00
MP: $132.64
Hero (CO): $50.00

Pre Flop: ($1.00) Hero is CO with 9 T
1 fold, MP calls $0.25, Hero raises to $3, 2 folds, BB calls $2.50, MP calls $2.75

Flop: ($9.25) 9 2 T (3 players)
BB checks, MP checks, Hero bets $7, BB calls $7, MP folds

Turn: ($23.25) 5 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $15, BB raises to $51.54 all in, Hero ???

MP is a very weak player (81/38 no clue type of guy), therefore I'm isolating any playable hand versus him. BB seems like a good reg (25/21, 33% Afq; we played some hands before - he adjusted his 3betting range and frequency pretty well, no postflop history though; he probably thinks I'm a decent player).

On the flop we have a clear valuebet. Turn is tough though - I expect him to call with sets on the flop (to keep the fish in the pot); I assume he's also calling with draws most of the time. Therefore his valuerange probably has me crushed. The question is whether he does this with a combodraw on the turn - it would be a decent spot to bluff provided that I'd probably muck any TP/overpair without a heart to such action. We need 24% equity to call and vs a range of:


Equity Win Tie
MP2 32.96% 32.96% 0.00% Td9h
MP3 67.04% 67.04% 0.00% TT-99, 22, AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, QhJh, AhTh, KhQd, KhQs, KhQc

We got it. What do you think?

Best regards

When you bey into three players on the flop including a fish, I expect him to give you lots of credit and fold hands like KQo.

If he is a thinking player he is never jamming TT,99,22 on the turn. You show a lot of strenght on the flop so he would have c/r the flop (or donked his set for protection and value). Since he rarely has T2, 95 etc I expect to see a flush here 90% of the time. In game I might call but that would be a huge mistake given villains line and board texture.

It's an easy fold imo. Your ranges for him seem wrong, if he is a decent player he should lead out sets and tp+ because you're never cbetting air here. Even if he somehow floated your unlikkely Ahx/Khx I don't see him bluffing into a very strong perceived range

He has a flush there most of the time. He would raise a set on the flop almost always so he's range looks like a flush draw and your range looks very strong as well so I don't think he's bluffing here with combo draws. Really which combo draw is that strong here? AT with the heart ace has a lot of show down value and is surely just calling. Which combo draws do you put him on exactly?

Hmm, you're right that he would probably lead with a set, check-raising the flop with it would be incorrect though in my opinion.

I thought he might check-shove the turn with AhTx to make me fold a better hand, but it's probably wishful thinking. I somehow expected him to do that with QJ for example but people aren't that aggro probably.

I agree with folding (though I called in the game ;d)

Thanks