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25NL-Z AA flop wth fold?

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Estist

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1037 posts
Joined 09/2010

I played this somewhat interesting hand. I have ASpade ADiamond in the SB. Button opens $0.50 (2x) and I make it $2 to go. He calls. Flop is 6Spade 7Heart 8Heart

So villain is a bit of a nut peddling loose passive regular. I opt for checking because it's a horrible flop and I'm hoping to just get it to showdown. He bets 2/3 pot and I fold. My read of him is that a) he's not capable of folding should I need to turn my AA in a bluff at a later stage b) he always barrels including river when he has a hand c) I'm not sure that he won't barrel a "scary" turn card because he strikes me as the kind of player that is just looking at his hand strength.

So my range for him is 99+, heart suited broadways, two pairs and sets.That means I'm flipping in equity with my AA. So I hate calling, I hate raising, I would consider shoving but not sure if he's folding two pair.

What you guys think?

Posted about 1 year ago

SchFerreira

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310 posts
Joined 11/2011

Big_Mick00

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74 posts
Joined 12/2009

Big_Mick00

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74 posts
Joined 12/2009

Deets

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541 posts
Joined 11/2010

I think he'd bet in position here with pretty much his whole range after you've 3bet and checked.

Posted about 1 year ago

SchFerreira

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310 posts
Joined 11/2011

I think he'd bet in position here with pretty much his whole range after you've 3bet and checked.



Maybe but the 2/3 pot bet looks alot like a set.

Posted about 1 year ago

Deets

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541 posts
Joined 11/2010

I think we need to cbet and let him tell us that rather than hand him the pot, though.

Estist, you say he's loose but nut-peddling. Do you mean loose pre- but doesn't do anything postflop without the nuts? If so then he's got a wide range on the flop and a half-pot bet doesn't need many folds even if you shut down immediately afterwards. He's passive so if he raises we know we're definitely beat, too.

Posted about 1 year ago

EUSSI

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1990 posts
Joined 06/2010

EUSSI

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1990 posts
Joined 06/2010

Estist

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1037 posts
Joined 09/2010

Rather than being patronizing how about sticking your necks out and post your thought process perhaps back it up with some math to show me why I'm such an incredible fool to not bet and just fold on this board to a guy that does nothing with nothing, and does something with something strong. If I bet he's not going to make many mistakes and on the turn I'm going to make a plethora of mistakes and he's got a shit loads of cards in his range that he can call a bet with and has outs to the nuts and I've got hardly any.

Posted about 1 year ago

Estist

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1037 posts
Joined 09/2010

@Deets I think his strategy focuses on making the nuts and then stacking someone. In order to do that he's loose pre-flop, but a lot tighter post-flop.

Posted about 1 year ago

KKingDavid

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13 posts
Joined 04/2012

Most people can't let go of AA, no matter how obv they are beat. Bravo that you can. If you don't know where you stand or do know you're beat, best thing to do is let go and a better opportunity to make some $$ will eventually come along.

Posted about 1 year ago

Langerz

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4813 posts
Joined 02/2007

@Deets I think his strategy focuses on making the nuts and then stacking someone. In order to do that he's loose pre-flop, but a lot tighter post-flop.



At what point does he tighten up? If he's loose pre and then chases draws on the flop trying to get the nuts then I think there is too much value to be had not to cbet.

Posted about 1 year ago

SchFerreira

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310 posts
Joined 11/2011

I actually think he can fold 76, maybe 87 if you shove so I would definitely suggest to try that as it will do wonders for your red line. Then again if the bluff doesn't work we lose our 25 bucks and we could have bought how many Happy Meals with that?

Posted about 1 year ago

Armisan

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1004 posts
Joined 03/2009

The flop looks nasty, but against passive guy your plan should be bet, bet, bet and again bet. He will very rarely if ever raise you with worse and when he does fold and move on.

Posted about 1 year ago




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