Micro Stakes Online NL Poker Forums

MP: $10.00
CO: $7.33
Hero (BTN): $10.00
SB: $10.00
BB: $10.97
UTG: $38.64

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with A 7
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.20, 1 fold, BB calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.45) 7 3 6 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.28, BB raises to $0.80, Hero calls $0.52

Turn: ($2.05) Q (2 players)
BB bets $1.20, Hero calls $1.20

River: ($4.45) 5 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Villain is 29/24 with a flop aggression % of 52.
I was min raising his blind from the button a lot and I was expecting to be played back at.
When he raises me on the flop my read is that he is weak given the raise size, his flop agg % and the fact that I'd been stealing his BB a lot.

Since I read him as weak, should I raise him even though my hand has showdown value? There's not a lot of turn or river cards I'm happy to call down on.

Alternatively, if I'm expecting to get played back at, should I check behind the flop?

Since I read him as weak, should I raise him even though my hand has showdown value? There's not a lot of turn or river cards I'm happy to call down on.

If you think he's that weak what worse hands are you getting value from when you reraise him?

If you think he's that weak what worse hands are you getting value from when you reraise him?

Broadways with a club, 89, 9T, 44, 55, flush draws. I was thinking that he's probably drawing when he bets that size on the flop, or he has a hand he wants to protect.

Are you saying there's not much value to be had here?

You think he will not fold a broadway+club if you reraise the flop? Or do you mean they are both clubs?

You think he will not fold a broadway+club if you reraise the flop? Or do you mean they are both clubs?

I suppose he would fold with broadways with one club and shove with broadways with 2 clubs since he has a ton of equity against my button raising range?

Exactly. He also can't have the NFD, which makes me want to call more than reraise.

So, calling flop and most turn cards, folding to a river bet is the right play?

I think that would be best. I have no problem with checking back the flop if you want to lower your variance vs this opponent, but that might not be the same thing as the best play.

Many thanks.

you mean his weakness on the river? He most likely has a pair between 88 and TT (not sure about JJ); sets are also possible, but I don't see him looking to fold the river here (it's 10NL, doubtful he can hero fold?). Your line does look a lot like a flush draw, so it's possible that your bet will win you the pot.

As played, you really should fold the turn.

EDIT: I didn't read for any sort of dynamic or idea of how this guy plays postflop, I was only going off of generalaties based only on the action. Obviously if this guy shows lots of signs that he's air heavy when he check raises, then on the river I just check back and beat his air.

RE-EDIT: just saw your question about checking back the flop (I would not bet 3bet unless this was monotone clubs, or a different texture all together) - this might be a good adjustment to make depending on what you see villain show up with here. If he has blank overs, then check back more wet flops... and speaking of that, I would expect his air to fire on the river, which is perhaps the reason I initially didn't think he had air... but who knows