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Poker Stars $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1718153
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BB: $48.25
UTG: $54.67
Hero (MP): $50.00
CO: $58.50
BTN: $59.81
SB: $50.00

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is MP with 9 9
UTG raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, 4 folds

Flop: ($3.75) 4 5 6 (2 players)
UTG bets $2, Hero calls $2

Turn: ($7.75) 6 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $4, UTG raises to $10.50, Hero calls $6.50

River: ($28.75) T (2 players)
UTG bets $19, Hero???

Final Pot: $28.75


Villain 30/30 after 61 hands so far he has opened tight from EP and MP a bit wider from SB and very wide from LP ( 45%)

flop cbet:89%(8/10), turn cbet:33%(1/3)

notes on Villain:

squeeze oo btn vs mp and co and fold to small 4bet
4bet/fold as btn vs sb
call ip 3bet with QTs, bet AJ9 rb baord with oesd when cehceked too, check back blank turn, raise river small bet
squeeze oo sb, x 3 way AQx rb board, x/f turn J



my stats were 6/6 after 16 hands this session.


he will probably cbet this board with almost all hands he opens.

on the turn he will probably keep betting with flushdraws+overs and 44+ maybe he will potcontroll 77-TT some of the time and give up a lot with his air.

do you think Villain will expect an realatively unknown player to float the flop a lot? and do you think most Villains will adapt by barreling more air and sometimes x/r their monsters?

in game i thought he would not have much of a check/calling range and just give up a lot. so i betted relatively small kinda putting my hand face up. (not sure if betting is good if i assume Villain will keep barreling hands that have good equity. but even if hands with just two over don't have much equity there seems to be a big number of combos of them and just very few combos that could x/r)

i am pretty lost concerning hands Villain would check/raise in this spot. obviously he could have a boat. but not sure what other hands. just from what i have seen on NL25 so far is that when people plan on x/folding they fold even if you bet very small.

Looks like a good flop 4 u why not raise otf a lot of scary cards can still come that are in his range. I am going to take a chance here and put this villain on busted draws and overs. I just dont think he goes for a x raise ott with TT+ I think he keeps betting out.

not sure if enough worse hands call a raise on the flop. a raise would mainly give me information.

I call it off...ur most likely gonna see a turn bet with all his value and semi-bluffs..and maybe a pot control line sometimes w TT...only hand i could see him takin this line w is 44-55, but i would mostly think he would turn bet these cause we have a lot worse that calls...he seems like hes also a bit spewy, his line is just akward...its gonna be slim i see someone do this w a higher pp.

Do you think it's +EV for him to try to bluff someone off an obvious overpair? Think about the "spewy plays" you've seen him make so far. Each of them are not entirely unreasonable. Also if he's thinking about his image then this is value now 100% of the time. He seems to be a reg and not a fish so he'll probably have at least some sort of thought process, and if he has shown a 4b bluff, a river bluffraise, a light preflop call etc, I seriously doubt anyone with half a working brain would try to make someone fold an overpair on the turn here.

Do you think it's +EV for him to try to bluff someone off an obvious overpair? Think about the "spewy plays" you've seen him make so far. Each of them are not entirely unreasonable. Also if he's thinking about his image then this is value now 100% of the time. He seems to be a reg and not a fish so he'll probably have at least some sort of thought process, and if he has shown a 4b bluff, a river bluffraise, a light preflop call etc, I seriously doubt anyone with half a working brain would try to make someone fold an overpair on the turn here.

ok i wasn't sure how he would percieve my range on the turn and if my betsizing would induce some spazz and made some sort of confusion call to reevaluate the river. but thinking about it seems to make a lot of sense for Villain to take this line for value given my percieved range after calling the flop and not so much as a bluff. thanks a lot.