Micro Stakes Online NL Poker Forums

PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

CO: $3.52
BTN: $4.71
SB: $4.13
BB: $5.24
Hero (UTG): $7.62
MP: $7.51

SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05

Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero has A Q

Hero raises to $0.17, fold, CO calls $0.17, fold, fold, fold

Flop: ($0.41, 2 players) 4 J Q
Hero bets $0.27, CO calls $0.27

Turn: ($0.95, 2 players) 3
Hero bets $0.54, CO calls $0.54

River: ($2.03, 2 players) 4
[color=red]Hero ??

Villain 28/13/Afq76 (106hands)

Only info was from maybe 20 hands before when villain barelled turn and river OOP with air when (as PFRer) I checked behind on the flop.

I will admit, I was not concentrating here, as you can see from my bet sizing.

What is the correct play here? b/f? x/c? c/f?

also, going by villains original stack size, should I have used bet sizing to set up a river shove?

What range do you give villain when he calls you pre-flop? How about when he calls your flop bet? How about your turn bet? When you know this, you've got a range for villain at the river and can make a better informed decision depending on what parts of his range you're trying to target to get max value.

ok calling pre, villain has a wide range... broadways/Ax/PPs/suited connectors + some random crap (Depending on villain thinking about me being UTG)

On the flop, villain has high Afq so hes raising TP/2pair/sets, also unlikely slow playing with broadway suited flop.

On the turn, villain is prob calling with draws and maybe PPs/2nd Ps that wont fold.

So, on the river I think we're facing busted draws, 2nd Pairs/ worse PPs and prob only thing to fear is some random 4x hand, maybe A4/45s.

My instinct here says it would be a ck call against that range. I have seen villain bluff before so if i check he could have some bluffs in his range. He is folding to a bet with busted draws anyway. Hands that are beating me are in his range but not massive part.

How much of this is reasonable? Where am Í thinking wrong?

i'd just shove given stack size. can't really do much else. you can maybe c/c and induce something if you think he's a spaz. b/f is out of the question given stacks.

so given your history, maybe checking could be good. i'd pretty much never fold though.

i'd just shove given stack size. can't really do much else. you can maybe c/c and induce something if you think he's a spaz. b/f is out of the question given stacks.

so given your history, maybe checking could be good. i'd pretty much never fold though.

tbh I think I put myself in this awkward spot with betsizing

Based on your analysis through the hand, I think bet/folding is out of the question because stack sizes are awkward. So, you can either shove yourself, which would be small overbet or you can check/call if you think villain is likely to have more missed draws that will bluff in his hand than worse made hands that will call.

I think you may be over estimating villain's aggression with top pair hands a bit, so I may think he has some of those in his range by the river. Without trying to do the math, I think there is more value in shoving than trying to pick off a bluff with a check/call.

And agreed, paying a bit more attention to effective stacks and bet sizing will make it easier to set up a shove on the river.