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Poker Video: No Limit Hold'Em by linkwood (Micro/Small Stakes)

First of all I would like to thank you for making this series.

So what do I think he has? For now, lets put on a side that he is tight player. Player on your right opened preflop, and got you and a SB as a caller. BB actually had to pay just 0.2$ for a 1$ pot atm (with his call total pot is 1,2$), in this case he could call with any two. Its a possability, but I doubt that a tight player would do this. Well wouldnt be surprised at these limits, everything is possible

Donk bet on a flop --> probably he was thinking that with it he will push at least two players out of the pot if not all, which he did. Just you called him. The turn paired the board, and he checked, you bet, he min-raises. I'm quite sure he hasn't got pocket fives, and that for sure he wouldn't donk on the flop with lets say A5s or A5o. Does he has pocket nines? Could be, maybe because of that he made that donk bet as he was happy to see trips (he can be quite sure that any Q will pay him off) and also to "protect" his hand against flush draw. IMO players on this limit would for sure call if they would have flush draw!

What is his hand? As said 99 is possible, but IMO he has a strong Q, AQ or KQ. He probably min-raised you as he is "putting" you on a flush draw and thinks that you will fold after his raise. I would suggest push, as most probably you are ahead (in case he hasnt got pocket nines or 5 (less likely)). If you are behind you still have well (in case he has nines full with fives) two more outs, good luck

In regards to the turn bet sizing, the value we lose from when villain c/f his draws (which I don't necessarily think he does) is made up for by the value we gain from the times villain c/c KQ, QJ, QT, etc

First of all I would like to thank you for making this series.

So what do I think he has? For now, lets put on a side that he is tight player. Player on your right opened preflop, and got you and a SB as a caller. BB actually had to pay just 0.2$ for a 1$ pot atm (with his call total pot is 1,2$), in this case he could call with any two. Its a possability, but I doubt that a tight player would do this. Well wouldnt be surprised at these limits, everything is possible

Donk bet on a flop --> probably he was thinking that with it he will push at least two players out of the pot if not all, which he did. Just you called him. The turn paired the board, and he checked, you bet, he min-raises. I'm quite sure he hasn't got pocket fives, and that for sure he wouldn't donk on the flop with lets say A5s or A5o. Does he has pocket nines? Could be, maybe because of that he made that donk bet as he was happy to see trips (he can be quite sure that any Q will pay him off) and also to "protect" his hand against flush draw. IMO players on this limit would for sure call if they would have flush draw!

What is his hand? As said 99 is possible, but IMO he has a strong Q, AQ or KQ. He probably min-raised you as he is "putting" you on a flush draw and thinks that you will fold after his raise. I would suggest push, as most probably you are ahead (in case he hasnt got pocket nines or 5 (less likely)). If you are behind you still have well (in case he has nines full with fives) two more outs, good luck

EDIT: If he has JTo or JTs, this would be a weird move from him (or not), even though he still has a lot of outs. Actually even if you push him he will call you for sure...

What is his hand? As said 99 is possible, but IMO he has a strong Q, AQ or KQ. He probably min-raised you as he is "putting" you on a flush draw and thinks that you will fold after his raise. I would suggest push, as most probably you are ahead (in case he hasnt got pocket nines or 5 (less likely)). If you are behind you still have well (in case he has nines full with fives) two more outs, good luck

Do you really think villain will check the turn with Qx after leading the flop? And then c/r really small?

Do you really think villain will check the turn with Qx after leading the flop? And then c/r really small?

not really. this small c/r looks like Villian is luring Hero into the pot. With Qx he would be affraid of giving Hero a freecard or the right price to draw.

not really. this small c/r looks like Villian is luring Hero into the pot. With Qx he would be affraid of giving Hero a freecard or the right price to draw.

Yeah, agree with this. I don't think villain cares if a we call and a club comes on the river, or if we check behind either.

Do you really think villain will check the turn with Qx after leading the flop? And then c/r really small?

Well it's possible, I think that everyone from us already did this. I agree that his min raise is weird, it can be a monster or also as a bluff, as he is putting us on a flush draw, and he probably thinks we will fold (we have to have in mind that these are micro limits). I'm quite sure he doesnt have AA or KK, as he would already raise preflop (if he has, well not a nice spot for AA with 4 handed flop). Interesting situation, would really like to know what happend.

I dont like your size on the turn, now you have to fold, because he almost only have value hands that bet us.

1,5$ much better size imo.

With a small bet, you will lose value on Qx/draws. With these hands, he's definitely calling the turn. If he decided to c/c with draws, he would do it whatever the bet size is. We need to take as much value as possible on draws/Qx and some weird 9x (9cxc) plus we set the stack size for a river shove.

His range for checking the turn is mainly Qx/draws/9x/give up. I think the check raise will be pretty rare and I dont expect him to do it with a draw (nitty guy probably passive), especially with this sizing where he does not look for FE.
I expect him to c/c most of his Qx. Even if his value range is pretty small, from a nitty guy (probably not capable of big moves) his range to do this is Q9s/99/QQ?/55 imo. As the sizing is small flop/it was multiway preflop and we don't have reads/a lot of stats on the guy, I wouldn't completely deny 5x (54s/56s/A5s) from his range. He could DB for information/semibluff and it would make sence with his line. So, I would fold turn.

Nice turn sizing now fold. Pokerstove is useless in this spot btw

Definitely folding. The only value hand you're head of is like a NFD, and given his stats (readless) I don't think he'd be bluff check raising the turn very often even with a NFD

Range: 99, Q9 and even the one combo of 55. That's about it. I suppose there's a chance he could have another AQ in which case you're calling or raising here to chop. Not very good unless he's a spazz monkey IMO.

maaaagine his turn range was limited to the nuts...

As the pot was multiway pre, and he was on the BB, he could be calling with a lot of speculative hands, suited connectors and one gappers, and then donk out on the flop with a made hand or draw to protect their hand. His check raising the turn could be a 2 pair hand trying to take down the pot, scared of a club river, or a trips/boat hand raising for value.

On the turn I have stoved a range of QJs,QTs,J9s,J9o,T9s,T9o,98s,98o, A9s, A9o as hands that we beat, and counted a total of 46 combos that we beat. Against these hands we have 90% equity

As for a range of hands that beat us, I have counted 55,99,56s,54s,56o,54o,57s,57o,A5o,A5s
This makes it 36 combos of hands that beat us. Adding this to our above range, this gives us 55%equity.

If I've done the maths correctly, calling here would be +Ev by $3.87.

Including draws AJc through A2c our equity increases by 2%,making the call more profitable.

Again, assuming I've done the maths right, the EV on a shove here is +$5.07.

So, you could risk $2.50 to win $3.97, or $7 to win $5.07. I will opt for the 'call and act again on the river' line as opposed to a shove

(my shove EV was calculated assuming that he calls all hands that he raises, which is unlikely, but even so...)

hey linkwood! great series and i hope to take this video down

on the turn decision, we either have to shove or fold and i like shoving.

first of all, i think if he had a nutted hand on flop, players tend to c/r a lot especially multiway vs a tight PFR. when he leads close to 2/3rds pot, i think he has a lot of TP type hands and a lot of draws.

as you pointed out, q9s only has 1 combo, 99 is 3 combos, and 55 is one combo. qq is almost never in his range imo. so basically, we are afraid of 4 or 5 combos and those combos only play this way a fraction of the time.

now when it comes to draws, there are a TON of combos in his range. i do think that draws tend to c/shove here as a semi-bluff for maximum fold equity so that is the only thing that concerns me. given that is is 10nl, there is a TON of spaz and random play that counteracts the few times he does have a monster.

also, not sure what level your opponent is on, but your turn range is very wide so he might be c/ring for value w/ Qx or he might be semibluffing with a draw because he knows you can have a wide range

i think you turned about the best turn card in the deck and you need to jam for value since he will call off w/ draws and worse Qx hands

ok i think he mostly had here 99 becouse i do not see him doing that with other hand might have aq too but he might squeeze pre, if he was leading with f/d on flop i think he will lead the turn as well, with kq he will chek call or lead again so i will fold becouse my potential is to chop or loose and im ok to loose 3 doll. is correct?