BalugaWhale discusses some micro-stakes NLHE with a post regarding 25NL.Hand is Here
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Baluga really closed to be lost in his thoughts, right?
lol sometimes i move onto the next thing in my head without finishing the first thing
Hey I made it into a video! ![]()
Double-checked the stove just to be sure and it still checks out. Adding in the 87s combo costs you about 2.5% equity
Good discussion based on the assumptions you made. The other stats provided in the post 49%agg/61%W$SF/15%WTSD actually lead me to think he might be bad aggressive tho. Those numbers are pretty extreme, especially for someone calling so often preflop. Given that 3-betting seems like the best play. If the board were T52hhh would you ever flat here against a bad aggressive player to let them continue bluffing their air?
Couple other random thoughts, some 23/8s will lean more toward suited cards some will play too many Ax hands (or both) a lot of times you can get a read on this. Ah6-9o is definitely a possibility. Against either a loose passive or aggro player that he hasn't 3-b over 250 hands means we have to give a little more consideration to him having AhKo or more importantly(as played) by the river a weirdly played over pair. He'll probably be happy to try and show down fairly often, but sometimes he'll block bet or bet just cause he has QQ and you checked the turn.
Hand 0: 45.877% { 88, 66, AhKh, AhQh, AhJh, ATs, KhQh, KhJh, QhJh, QhTh, JhTh, Jh9h, Th9h, Th8h, 9h8h, 9h7h, 8h7h, 8h6h, 7h6h, 7h5h, 6h5h, 5h4h, 4h3h, 3h2h }
Hand 1: 54.123% { TT }
Just FYI. And I still like c/c/c line. It might even save you a few BB because sometimes passive players will check their low flushes when a 4th heart comes off and you get a shot at boating up for free. Might even get a free showdown.
Thanks BW for featuring my hand in one of your videos! It was a very interesting spot and a great analysis.
Agreed with everything you said in the video. At first I really liked a river fold but then at the end of the video you had a change of heart and advocated folding. It's kind of minor but I don't hate just getting it in on the flop because people at lower stakes even loose passives will randomly do weird stuff here and have JJ+, J9 Q9 type hands that don't know why they're raising. So I think hero is always flipping or ahead if villain decided to get frisky, but I agree that I'd call down against a villain with those stats over that many hands and that's much better.
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