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5NL value overbetting river


mrcleanhands

Avatar for mrcleanhands

666 posts
Joined 01/2010

I'm surprised by how much I get called when I never thought people would. So I've started trying to integrate a lot of value over-betting into my game.

This guy is a 40/2 passive fish. I suspect his range is much wider though since he limps 80% of small blinds.

Poker Stars $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 896744
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

SB: $11.98
Hero (BB): $5.29
UTG: $6.03
MP: $13.07
CO: $2.69
BTN: $6.66

Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is BB with K Spade 9 Diamond
4 folds, SB calls $0.03, Hero raises to $0.22, SB calls $0.17

Flop: ($0.44) K Heart A Heart 8 Heart (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($0.44) A Diamond (2 players)
SB bets $0.05, Hero raises to $0.38, SB calls $0.33

River: ($1.20) A Spade (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2, SB calls $2


By the river his range is narrowed down to any Ax, a few Kx, all pocket pairs up to KK, flushes, quads and some random air.

In all I estimated:
44 quads
166 Full houses, of which I beat 135 (pp's and random 8 connectors down to 85s+86o)
18 flushes

So I'm beating 67% of his range.

I'm pretty sure I can get spite calls out of flushes if I bet the right amount, and of coarse 8 are folding to anything but a shove (and even then who knows).


So whats your thoughts on over-betting this river vs a fish?

Posted over 1 year ago

orange

Avatar for orange

Coach
943 posts
Joined 02/2008

1BYONE

Avatar for 1BYONE

5156 posts
Joined 05/2009

Overbetting the river looks like a bluffy bet for a fishy Villain thats why I like it and you will get called very often

Posted over 1 year ago

trickybob

Avatar for trickybob

58 posts
Joined 08/2010

PF and Flop are good.
I don't like the turn raise, you run the risk of getting raised off the pot and the value is very thin - although the interpretation of his small bet could be that he's on a flush draw, he turns up with a small A a lot of the time too.
I think the river though is a good value bet.

Posted over 1 year ago

Snap

Avatar for Snap

85 posts
Joined 06/2009




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