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2NL Rivered K flush - safe to shove?


ron0914

Avatar for ron0914

899 posts
Joined 06/2009

Some runbad has me a little jaded lately...
We shove here for value right?

Villain is 27/23 over 22 hands.
Not enough postflop data to give you a read.

Full Tilt Poker $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 895028
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

MP: $2.06
CO: $2.45
Hero (BTN): $2.06
SB: $0.72
BB: $2.45
UTG: $2.00

Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is BTN with K Spade Q Spade
1 fold, MP raises to $0.08, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.08, 2 folds

Flop: ($0.19) K Diamond 6 Diamond 2 Spade (2 players)
MP bets $0.12, Hero calls $0.12

Turn: ($0.43) T Spade (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $0.30, MP requests TIME, MP calls $0.30

River: ($1.03) 3 Spade (2 players)
MP bets $0.45

Final Pot: $1.03

Posted over 1 year ago

ShinrA

Avatar for ShinrA

82 posts
Joined 07/2010

yes? he's probably calling with like any flush at these limits and there a lot more combos of every other 2 club hands than Ax club hands...

on a side note why did you not decide to 3bet this hand preflop?

Posted over 1 year ago

Gert_en_Piet

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1014 posts
Joined 04/2008

YES! Super fistpump insta value shove!

Posted over 1 year ago

itsatrap

Avatar for itsatrap

1319 posts
Joined 07/2008

yes. You have over 93% of his range decimated and he would call 1$ more into a raised pot of $3 (you shoving the $1.48 pot all in) with virtually damn near 100% of his range.

The only range you don't beat are AJ,A9,A8,A7,A6,A5,A4 of spades.

Villain Range { AA, KcKh, QcQd, QcQh, QdQh, JJ, TcTd, TcTh, TdTh, 66, 22, AcKc, AdKd, AhKh, AcQc, AdQd, AhQh, AJs, AcTc, AdTd, AhTh, A9s-A7s, Ac6c, Ah6h, As6s, A5s-A4s, Ac3c, Ad3d, Ah3h, Ac2c, Ad2d, Ah2h, 54s, AcKh, AdKc, AdKh, AhKc, AsKc, AsKh, AcQd, AcQh, AdQc, AdQh, AhQc, AhQd, AsQc, AsQd, AsQh, KcTd, KcTh, KhTc, KhTd, KsTc, KsTd, KsTh, 54o }

Board: Kd 6d 2s Ts 3s
Dead:


Villan: 06.931%
Hero: 93.069% <--- A-OK TO TAKE HIM TO VALUE TOWN

Posted over 1 year ago

ron0914

Avatar for ron0914

899 posts
Joined 06/2009

on a side note why did you not decide to 3bet this hand preflop?



Against an aggro player I didn't want to fold out hands I dominate that he would cbet with, which went entirely according to plan until he check called the turn and donked the river.

I was thinking, he wouldn't check call a strong hand like two pair or a set on the turn.

But I agree I should shove for value from worse flushes and maybe 33. If he has Axs I can just relish another opportunity to practise my breathing excercises.

Posted over 1 year ago

rrumsey

Avatar for rrumsey

4229 posts
Joined 06/2010

YES! Super fistpump insta value shove!


yah cant say it better

Posted over 1 year ago

TtheAntlers

Avatar for TtheAntlers

1224 posts
Joined 01/2010

I would 3bet preflop.

Other than that, I would definitely raise the river since there's so much in his range that you crush and that he's calling with and there's only Ax of spades combos to worry about. Take him down to value town.

Posted over 1 year ago

orange

Avatar for orange

Coach
943 posts
Joined 02/2008

really standard shove here...if you had a smaller flush, maybe it's just a call. but as is, jammmm...

Posted over 1 year ago




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