ngusarb
44 posts
Joined 11/2009
ngusarb
44 posts
Joined 11/2009
Langerz
3965 posts
Joined 02/2007
You c/r is too small. I'd make it at least 12.
With regular stacks I'd shove the turn, but you are kind of deep so I'd probably bet big enough to get good value from draws and make the river kind of trivial.
As played I'm not sure, but it's gross.
Posted over 1 year ago
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four
695 posts
Joined 03/2010
You c/r is too small. I'd make it at least 12.
With regular stacks I'd shove the turn, but you are kind of deep so I'd probably bet big enough to get good value from draws and make the river kind of trivial.
As played I'm not sure, but it's gross.
Agreed, I mean this bet sizing is setting up an extremely awkward river because there's still 72bb to play for, and he can get away from a lot of hands.
Make the flop raise bigger as suggested.
As played, he could have an overpair, he could have overcards that rivered a flush, a 6x hand is unlikely.
It is a case of whether you think he can call off the river with an overpair, and I doubt he does to be honest, but I also think he checks back an overpair as well on this river, very sick spot 
Posted over 1 year ago
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TheGeek
1469 posts
Joined 01/2009
I think its just a check fold on the river.
His range is flush draws and overpairs, and he doesn't bet overpairs on the river when you check. He's really likely to have an overpair as he shouldn't be calling the turn with a flush draw, the only 6 that's possible is 67, which is still very rare. Overpairs fold this river when you bet and they don't bet when you check. So when he puts money in the pot he has a flush.
So yeah, check fold imo.
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AstonMartin
754 posts
Joined 08/2009
I think its just a check fold on the river.
His range is flush draws and overpairs, and he doesn't bet overpairs on the river when you check. He's really likely to have an overpair as he shouldn't be calling the turn with a flush draw, the only 6 that's possible is 67, which is still very rare. Overpairs fold this river when you bet and they don't bet when you check. So when he puts money in the pot he has a flush.
So yeah, check fold imo.
+1
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four
695 posts
Joined 03/2010
I think its just a check fold on the river.
His range is flush draws and overpairs, and he doesn't bet overpairs on the river when you check. He's really likely to have an overpair as he shouldn't be calling the turn with a flush draw, the only 6 that's possible is 67, which is still very rare. Overpairs fold this river when you bet and they don't bet when you check. So when he puts money in the pot he has a flush.
So yeah, check fold imo.
But could you have the discipline in game to check fold, could he bet an overpair? I agree with you but very hard in game 
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itsatrap
1319 posts
Joined 07/2008
I think its just a check fold on the river.
His range is flush draws and overpairs, and he doesn't bet overpairs on the river when you check. He's really likely to have an overpair as he shouldn't be calling the turn with a flush draw, the only 6 that's possible is 67, which is still very rare. Overpairs fold this river when you bet and they don't bet when you check. So when he puts money in the pot he has a flush.
So yeah, check fold imo.
+2
what's even sicker is that it would be hard to put a decent blocking bet with ~$30 behind in a $60+ pot
Posted over 1 year ago
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TheGeek
1469 posts
Joined 01/2009
But could you have the discipline in game to check fold, could he bet an overpair? I agree with you but very hard in game 
Absolutely agree, it's way easier when there's no call or bet buttons in front of you.
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Riverbandit15
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DetroitMojo
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orange
Coach
943 posts
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infire
1424 posts
Joined 02/2008
kindve might thought as well... i might just say fuck it and shove.
Could you perhaps explain this a bit more? Specifically, why you don't think he's calling with a flush draw?
It seems to me that unless he is very good, he's going to check behind this river with overpair-strength hands, rather than turn them into bluffs realizing both the unlikelihood that we have a flush ourselves and the unlikelihood of his winning at showdown vs anything but weird and worse overpairs we might have. (In practice, even if he is good enough he may not turn those kinds of hands into bluffs on the river with the low SPR, thinking we'll never fold, I think.) The gap between his PFR and VPIP may even be a fair indication of passivity, although I don't know how much stock to put into that notion.
If I'm playing well, I think this is a disgusted c/f. I just want to find out why, when I'm playing well, I might not really be playing that well.
(But if I don't think I can lay it down, shove river obv.)
Posted over 1 year ago
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eraser
623 posts
Joined 02/2010
Easy c/fold to shove IMO. He isn't turning an overpair into a bluff.
It only gets gross when he bets like $6 into you.
I dont see why FDs aren't in his range.
Party Poker $50 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 893825
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
SB: $110.18
BB: $55.31
UTG: $154.36
MP: $30.98
CO: $69.13
Hero (BTN): $54.57
MP posts a big blind ($0.50)
Pre Flop: ($1.25) Hero is BTN with K
T
1 fold, MP checks, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2, SB calls $1.75, 2 folds
Flop: ($5.00) 4
J
6
(2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $3, SB raises to $8.50, Hero calls $5.50
Turn: ($22.00) K
(2 players)
SB bets $14, Hero calls $14
River: ($50.00) Q
(2 players)
SB bets $85.68 all in, Hero calls $30.07 all in
Final Pot: $110.14
SB shows 6
6
(three of a kind, Sixes)
Hero shows K
T
(a flush, King high)
SB wins $55.61
Hero wins $107.14
(Rake: $-52.61)
Posted over 1 year ago
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TheGeek
1469 posts
Joined 01/2009
I dont see why FDs aren't in his range.
It's not that they're not in his range, its that largely they shouldn't be. Though you are right that Tx of clubs may be. If he's got a bare nut flush and he's 100& guaranteed to get the rest of your stack when he hits, he's still not getting the correct odds to draw on the turn.
Posted over 1 year ago
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