gecko
6 posts
Joined 03/2009
mchu1026
968 posts
Joined 12/2008
How many hands do you have on this villain? If he's 28/11 over a large sample, i'd be more than happy to fold the river and I think you played fine.
Went to showdown, aggression frequency, and aggression factor should be taken into consideration, but I think this is almost always a fold against this player type.
Well played imo.
Posted over 2 years ago
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themYth123
18 posts
Joined 02/2009
hopscotch
311 posts
Joined 03/2008
mchu1026
968 posts
Joined 12/2008
Gizardpuke
1848 posts
Joined 09/2008
i gotta say this looks like a set on the flop a lot.
the flat call IP PF, the slightly more than min raise on flop, and the value bets on turn and river. and he's put you on either AK or AA (exactly what you have), given you've called that min raise.
you played it fine.
Posted over 2 years ago
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gecko
6 posts
Joined 03/2009
How many hands do you have on this villain? If he's 28/11 over a large sample, i'd be more than happy to fold the river and I think you played fine.
Went to showdown, aggression frequency, and aggression factor should be taken into consideration, but I think this is almost always a fold against this player type.
Well played imo.
13000 hands with a 14% raise cbet on flop.
I was thinking a min re raise would have been better on the flop and fold to any further action
@ themYth123 "I think i would never fold that river" Even with the villain being OOP?
Posted over 2 years ago
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QuetzalCoatl
Man-eating Snake God
1453 posts
Joined 09/2008
The 8 turn cuts down the flopped set/2p hands he can have quite a lot. Assuming he never has KK, on the flop there are 3 combos of 77, 3 of 88 and 9 87s in his monster range. When the 8 hits the turn that is reduced to 3x77, 1x88 and 6x87.
However, what else can he have? He's not really taking this line with KQ (12 combos) I don't think, or with AK (6) very often at all. Busted 9T seems very unlikely (and equally, 56 hit, so that's effectively a wash).
We only need to be good 30% of the time to break even. It's clear that he has to be MUCH more likely to take this line with a monster (10 combos) than a Kx-type hand (12 combos of KQ, plus maybe some AK, KJ hands) or air to make this a fold. It's ugly, because of the odds we're getting, but i don;t think he c/r and then barrels turn and river with air often, so it really boils down to whether i believe he'll play like this with KQ/KJ
Posted over 2 years ago
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