# Poker Video: No Limit Hold'Em by WiltOnTilt (Micro/Small Stakes)

## Mathematics of NL Hold'em: Episode Four

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### Mathematics of NL Hold'em: Episode Four by WiltOnTilt

This episode of Mathematics of No Limit Holdem focuses on EV Calculations which are set up using examples of preflop, flop and turn play. The reliability of the EV Calculations is dependent on our ability to put our opponents on accurate hand ranges so handreading is also addressed. In addition, this episode introduces the TUPAC method of estimating equity against a handrange without the use of software.

#### About Mathematics of NL Hold'em

WiltOnTilt will discuss key concepts related to the mathematics of No-Limit play using Powerpoint. Begin with the basics: probability and pot odds. Then follow Wilt to more advanced arenas: implied odds and reverse implied odds, software tools and mental shortcuts for equity calculations, complex EV calculations, and an exploration of fold equity. And watch this series conclude with a discourse on the ultimate in professional poker math: hand frequencies, valuebetting, and G-bucks.

### Video Details

• Game:
• Stakes: Micro/Small Stakes
• 54 minutes long
• Posted over 5 years ago

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## Comments for Mathematics of NL Hold'em: Episode Four

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#### demo79

108 posts
Joined 01/2008

Another great video Wot, it help me a lot with my thought process on the table.
I use something similar on these kind of situations (better than nothing i guess )but not as accurate as the real math, i list all of the possible hands in his range and see what hands im winning vs hands im losing or flipping and if hands i am winning are smaller number than the other side i would know im not getting even 30% percent equity (again this is mostly just based on feel and experience with pokerstove), but the way i do it doesnt account weighted possibilites of combos and the cards in my hand that block some of the villains out, and etc . Ill start using this method more and practice with it till i get a good feel of it.

Keep it coming.

Demo.

#### MickeyWins

1526 posts
Joined 07/2007

Wiltontilt....I wanna give this video like a 9!!! Its one of the best videos ever on DC.
granted it fits very well with were my NL game is, which is not that advanced.
however, I want to encourage all the admins making videos to use your "my thought process" example.
Getting a new poker tool(or in my case receipy for my cookbook) is great.
But you showing how this new tool fits into your decision, while perhaps seeming simple for you, is exactly what the student needs for a better understanding of the given principal.
I am hoping I can get DD or Entity and/or Danzasmack to do this "my thought process" kinda thing with hand/flop reading in limit. I will go post a request form them to watch or re-watch this technigue of yours.
ty so much....keep up the good work. I can't wait for the next one!

#### WiltOnTilt

2411 posts
Joined 10/2007

Thanks for the kind words guys :-)

#### tapped_out

52 posts
Joined 01/2008

This is some crazy stuff WOT...I'm trying to digest it right now but I really don't see how I could go through that process and come up with an estimation in the amount of time we have online.

The tupac method might work live though, I could simply pop in his CD and let the table know I'll be ready in about 2 songs...after I get done calculating of course

#### WiltOnTilt

2411 posts
Joined 10/2007

haha... yea man I understand the concern. Trust me, with practice you can get pretty good at it. Listen again to my "thought process" section at the end of the video. That thought process essentially follows TUPAC w/o explicitly saying "step 1", "step 2" etc.

You're right though, it would be tough to go through on a site that does not have the time-bank feature online. In a live game it should be doable. Hell everyone loves to pretend like they are on the WPT at the final table anyway, right? At least this will give you something to think about when everyone else assumes you're just "hollywooding" :-)

Good luck

363 posts
Joined 01/2008

<3 <3 <3

#### TheProdigy

23 posts
Joined 01/2008

I cannot find episode Three?

Edit: it just showed up when I did another filter? Some kind've bug or something because it wasn't on my filters at first(I just filtered videos for Mathematics, it wasn't there, then I took it off and filtered for Wilt videos and it didn't show up. Now it is there though)

#### theRabidDoG

53 posts
Joined 01/2008

ya this must be the best tip ive ever gotten in a poker video(!), and ive watched way over 100 vids on CR and deucescracked combined...

thx, cant w8 to watch the next one (and until i get better at estimating my eq quicker).

#### entelechy

1244 posts
Joined 02/2007

Really compelling, interesting stuff. Great videos, Aaron. I'm not a real math guy, so these have been very illuminating for me and very helpful to my thought processes at the table.

#### reMAX21

1 posts
Joined 02/2008

WOT, intense is an understatement. I think though that I came away an understanding of how an average math guy (myself) might be able to apply TUPAC. Please let me know if my simplification still works:

1) Using Pokerstove, memorize common post flop equities before playing (TP vs FD, TP vs OESD, OESD vs set). At least have them taped on your monitor or tattooed on your arm for live play.
2) Estimate (taking into account combos) the % of villain holding each range (50% he has FD, 25% he has set, 25% he has 2 pair)
3) Multiply equity by % of range for each range and add to get overall equity. (50% FD at 66% equity, 25% set at 2% equity, 25% 2 pair at 25% equity; when added together: .5*.66 + .25*.02 + .25*.25 which is 40% equity)

Am I using TUPAC right here? If so, I think that I could do this quickly after MUCH experience.

As an afterthought, I was laughing uncontrollably that 2 minutes prior to introducing TUPAC you were concerned that we would need to round 675 up to 700 and 325 down to 300 to add them up to get 1000. Steep learning curve in that 2 minutes.

Great video. That 45 minutes alone is worth an entire year subscription to DC!

#### WiltOnTilt

2411 posts
Joined 10/2007

remax, that's basically it!

We're essentially trying to determine his range, (step 1), group up all the different hand types and think about their equities (step 2), consider any outlier hands and their likely equity (step 3) then do a weighted average based on how 'likely' (ie how many combos) each grouping has... and there's your estimate.

It takes a lot of work, and isn't a trivial process, but with work and time in pokerstove you can get pretty good at it.

WoT

#### theRabidDoG

53 posts
Joined 01/2008

maybe im too tired and missing something here. either way its not that important i just wanna make sure im not misunderstanding something. u said there are 3 ways to make 2 pair with 98s Wilt but since the 9c and the 8d is out there 98cc and 98dd is not a part of his range, so there are actually only 2 combos of 98s (98hh 98ss) riiiiiight?

#### WiltOnTilt

2411 posts
Joined 10/2007

ya you're right, when i did that part i must have thought the board was Kd 9c 8c instead of Kc 9c 8d

Sorry about that. The oversight shouldn't change anything as far as the math/estimations go, but you're right that is a mistake. My apologies, and thanks for pointing that out.

WoT

#### shark_fishin

265 posts
Joined 03/2008

best vid iv ever seen(seen tons), thanks very much

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